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À¥½ºÄÉÀÏ ¹× CNNO(ij¸®¾î Á߸³ »ç¾÷ÀÚ) CAPEX Àü¸Á: 2023³â 3ºÐ±â ¼Óº¸ - ¿¬°£ CAPEX´Â 7/23³â Àü¸Áº¸´Ù 5-10% °¨¼ÒÇÒ °ÍÀ¸·Î ¿¹»óµÇ³ª ±â¼ú ºÎ¹®Àº Áõ°¡ Ãß¼¼Capex Forecast Check, 3Q23 - Webscale & CNNO: Preliminary Results for 3Q23: Full-year Capex Likely to be 5-10% Lower than 7/23 Forecast, but Tech Portion of Spend is Trending Upwards |
¿ì¸® ȸ»çÀÇ 2023³â °ø½Ä ¿¹Ãø¿¡ µû¸£¸é, À¥½ºÄÉÀÏÀÇ CAPEX´Â 2180¾ï ´Þ·¯, ij¸®¾î Á߸³ »ç¾÷ÀÚ(CNNO)ÀÇ CAPEX´Â 390¾ï ´Þ·¯·Î Ãß»êµÇ¸ç, 2023³â 3ºÐ±â ½ÇÁ¦ CAPEX´Â À¥½ºÄÉÀϰ¡ 2,000¾ï ´Þ·¯¿¡ À°¹ÚÇÑ´Ù, CNNO°¡ 360¾ï ´Þ·¯¿¡ À°¹ÚÇÒ °ÍÀ¸·Î ÃßÁ¤µË´Ï´Ù.
ÀÌ º¸°í¼´Â À¥½ºÄÉÀÏ ¹× CNNO(ij¸®¾î Á߸³ »ç¾÷ÀÚ)ÀÇ 3ºÐ±â ¼³ºñÅõÀÚ ±Ô¸ð¿Í ½ÃÀå ¼ºÀå·ü¿¡ ´ëÇØ ºü¸£°Ô °ËÅäÇϰí ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù.
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This short note provides an early review of 3Q23 market growth and capex spending figures for two of the three operator segments we cover: webscale, and carrier-neutral. (Our third segment, telco, will be addressed in a few weeks as more earnings reports are available.) The analysis is based on a review of over 80% of reporting companies in the two segments. Our official forecast for 2023 calls for $218B of capex for webscalers, and $39B for carrier-neutral operators (CNNOs). Market figures through 3Q23 suggest actual capex is likely to be closer to $200B and $36B for the two segments, respectively. This is a small change, however, and the tech portion of webscale capex is rising modestly. Moreover, new data from DigitalBridge makes clear that private equity-funded spend is strong in the data center CNNO market, helping to offset a weaker public CNNO market. Consequently, the vendor opportunity in selling to these two markets in 2023 is roughly the same size as forecast.
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