세계의 자율 군용 무기 시장 : 자율화 레벨별, 무기 유형별, 용도별, 지역별 - 기회 및 예측(2018-2032년)

Global autonomous military weapons market is projected to witness a CAGR of 9.47% during the forecast period 2025-2032, growing from USD 15.09 billion in 2024 to USD 31.12 billion in 2032. The global autonomous military weapons market is continuing to grow at a rapid pace due to advancements in artificial intelligence, robotics, and sensor technology. The systems operate autonomously to detect and attack targets with limited human participation, and they are becoming standard components for platforms in air and naval, and land operations.

The rising defense spending, combined with global tensions and the need for precision warfare, drives major military nations to adopt these technologies. The market features its main products through guided missiles and drones, and unmanned ground vehicles. The industry invests substantial funds in research and development, aiming to improve system autonomy and reliability, as well as enhance decision-making processes. Autonomous weapons are poised to become central elements that will transform future warfare operations as nations advance their defense approaches.

For instance, in March 2025, the UK Ministry of Defense made an investment exceeding USD 40 million in Anduril Industries, Inc. for autonomous weapons systems, including loitering munitions and AI surveillance systems, which signals significant growth in the worldwide autonomous military weapons industry.

Technological Advancement Pumps the Autonomous Military Weapons Market Growth

The autonomous military weapons market is experiencing substantial expansion due to modern technological developments. Defense capabilities worldwide are transforming due to the convergence of AI, machine learning, and advanced robotics. Innovative technologies drive rising requirements for autonomous systems that deliver precise operations while reducing operational hazards and shortening strategic response times. Worldwide defense forces dedicate substantial funds to autonomous aircraft and unmanned vehicles operating on land and at sea to transform military operations and reduce human exposure to hazardous missions. The quick adoption of these systems drives market growth because defense contractors, together with government organizations, focus their funding on research and development. The market is evolving rapidly due to autonomy becoming essential for modern warfare strategies, generating new growth opportunities.

For instance, in February 2025, the Aero India 2025 event showcased India's latest AI advancements, along with autonomous drones and sophisticated defense electronics, promoting military self-sufficiency and modernization. The latest technological developments, including AI-powered mission planning and swarm drones, are accelerating the global autonomous military weapons market.

Rising Geopolitical Tension Fuels the Autonomous Military Weapons Market Growth

Growing geopolitical tensions across different regions are driving substantial market expansion for autonomous military weapon systems. The rising defense modernization programs of governments are creating growing market demand for unmanned systems, along with AI-powered combat technologies. Nations competing strategically pursue weapon systems that offer high-precision capabilities alongside reduced personnel exposure and rapid response capabilities. Military organizations and defense contractors are now dedicating more resources to developing autonomous aerial, ground, and naval platforms in response to this trend. The market expands due to technological advancements in sensors and machine learning, robotics, and the rising adoption of next-generation warfare solutions. The market shows robust growth because security needs perfectly match with defense technological developments.

For instance, in March 2025, the Series A funding round secured USD 30 million to advance the Bullfrog autonomous weapon system, developed by Allen Control Systems, which aims to defend against drone threats. The increasing global geopolitical tensions have led to rapid market expansion for autonomous military weapons, as advanced defense technologies have become increasingly essential.

Semi-Autonomous Dominates the Autonomous Military Weapons Market

The present military weapons industry depends heavily on semi-autonomous systems as its primary evolving technology. The platforms rely on human operators to perform essential functions, including target recognition and firing decisions, while maintaining strategic oversight through advanced automated capabilities. The systems achieve better acceptance under present international standards because they operate through a mix of automated processes and human supervision. The military community shows a strong preference for semi-autonomous systems because they address moral issues that arise from the use of completely autonomous weapons. Semi-autonomous systems operate across all three operational domains, such as air, land, and sea, to deliver flexible combat capabilities. The defense sector continues to adopt semi-autonomous technologies because these solutions develop both operational capabilities and strategic integration in modern military operations.

For instance, in January 2025, the Ukrainian organization Dron ZP introduced a semi-autonomous turret system that features a 12.7 mm machine gun that operates through neural network control for FPV drone defense. The National Guard evaluated this system to demonstrate that semi-autonomous machines have surpassed fully autonomous technology in modern military applications.

North America Dominates the Autonomous Military Weapons Market

The autonomous military weapons market worldwide has its most significant market presence in North America, primarily due to the implementation of advanced technology, a strong defense infrastructure, and substantial investments in AI systems. The region hosts significant defense corporations alongside innovative startups, which collaborate with military organizations to develop future autonomous systems. Strategic initiatives focus on enhancing surveillance, precision targeting, and operational efficiency. The quick acceptance of these weapons receives support from military modernization programs and government policies. The combination of defense innovation in North America with strategic global dynamics drives continuous market growth. The region maintains its leadership position in autonomous warfare system development due to its intense research and development capabilities.

For instance, in December 2024, the US military, along with its allied defense organizations, formed a partnership with OpenAI, Inc., Meta Platforms, Inc., and Anthropic, PBC. This decision strengthens North America's position as a leader in autonomous military weapons while accelerating both defense innovation and capability development.

Impact of U.S. Tariffs on the Global Autonomous Military Weapons Market

The United States applies tariffs on imported electronics and sensors, which leads to higher costs of autonomous weapon systems due to their increased prices. Defense companies encounter higher expenses, which forces them to modify their budgets, leading to potential extensions of project timelines.

The imposition of tariffs creates difficulties for global supply chains, which result in essential component shortages and delayed deliveries. The difficulty in obtaining dependable parts forces manufacturers to redesign or halt their autonomous weapons development process.

The implementation of tariffs leads to reciprocal measures from other nations, along with diminished cooperative efforts between defense partners. The reduction of joint projects prevents military organizations from leveraging worldwide specialized knowledge, thus weakening their collaborative efforts in developing autonomous military systems.

The combination of elevated expenses and supply chain difficulties creates an environment where advanced autonomous weapon technology investment becomes less attractive. Innovation experiences lose momentum because businesses allocate their attention to unaffected areas, while startup companies encounter increased obstacles to market entry.

Key Players Landscape and Outlook

The autonomous military weapons market's expansion depends heavily on key players who actively develop innovative technologies while establishing industry standards. These players focus on advanced AI systems, autonomous navigation capabilities, and sophisticated targeting technology to enhance both operational effectiveness and combat decision-making processes. The market expands as these players form strategic alliances with defense institutions while continuing to invest in research and development. The deployment of armed forces is accelerated by the development of smaller systems, along with multi-domain interoperability and smarter payloads. Their initiatives drive both product advancement and worldwide market expansion through increased competition.

For instance, in September 2024, BAE Systems Plc unveiled the ATLAS CCV, a modular 8X8 uncrewed ground vehicle equipped with advanced autonomy and a VANTAGE turret, designed to enhance battlefield flexibility and improve soldier safety. This modern technology demonstrates robust market expansion in the autonomous military weapon sector through its combination of established

technology and forward-looking design.

Table of Contents

1. Project Scope and Definitions

2. Research Methodology

3. Impact of U.S. Tariffs

4. Executive Summary

5. Voice of Customers

• 5.1. Respondent Demographics
• 5.2. Brand Awareness
• 5.3. Factors Considered in Purchase Decisions
• 5.4. Precision Efficiency

6. Global Autonomous Military Weapons Market Outlook, 2018-2032F

• 6.1. Market Size Analysis & Forecast
  • 6.1.1. By Value
• 6.2. Market Share Analysis & Forecast
  • 6.2.1. By Autonomy Level
    • 6.2.1.1. Semi-autonomous
    • 6.2.1.2. Supervised Autonomy
    • 6.2.1.3. Fully Autonomous
  • 6.2.2. By Weapon Type
    • 6.2.2.1. Loitering Munitions
    • 6.2.2.2. Autonomous Drones
    • 6.2.2.3. Robotic Ground Systems
  • 6.2.3. By Application
    • 6.2.3.1. Targeting and Engagement
    • 6.2.3.2. Surveillance and Reconnaissance
    • 6.2.3.3. Area Denial and Swarm Control
  • 6.2.4. By Region
    • 6.2.4.1. North America
    • 6.2.4.2. Europe
    • 6.2.4.3. Asia-Pacific
    • 6.2.4.4. South America
    • 6.2.4.5. Middle East and Africa
  • 6.2.5. By Company Market Share Analysis (Top 5 Companies and Others - By Value, 2024)
• 6.3. Market Map Analysis, 2024
  • 6.3.1. By Autonomy Level
  • 6.3.2. By Weapon Type
  • 6.3.3. By Application
  • 6.3.4. By Region

7. North America Autonomous Military Weapons Market Outlook, 2018-2032F

• 7.1. Market Size Analysis & Forecast
  • 7.1.1. By Value
• 7.2. Market Share Analysis & Forecast
  • 7.2.1. By Autonomy Level
    • 7.2.1.1. Semi-autonomous
    • 7.2.1.2. Supervised Autonomy
    • 7.2.1.3. Fully Autonomous
  • 7.2.2. By Weapon Type
    • 7.2.2.1. Loitering Munitions
    • 7.2.2.2. Autonomous Drones
    • 7.2.2.3. Robotic Ground Systems
  • 7.2.3. By Application
    • 7.2.3.1. Targeting and Engagement
    • 7.2.3.2. Surveillance and Reconnaissance
    • 7.2.3.3. Area Denial and Swarm Control
  • 7.2.4. By Country Share
    • 7.2.4.1. United States
    • 7.2.4.2. Canada
    • 7.2.4.3. Mexico
• 7.3. Country Market Assessment
  • 7.3.1. United States Autonomous Military Weapons Market Outlook, 2018-2032F*
    • 7.3.1.1. Market Size Analysis & Forecast
      • 7.3.1.1.1. By Value
    • 7.3.1.2. Market Share Analysis & Forecast
      • 7.3.1.2.1. By Autonomy Level
        • 7.3.1.2.1.1. Semi-autonomous
        • 7.3.1.2.1.2. Supervised Autonomy
        • 7.3.1.2.1.3. Fully Autonomous
      • 7.3.1.2.2. By Weapon Type
        • 7.3.1.2.2.1. Loitering Munitions
        • 7.3.1.2.2.2. Autonomous Drones
        • 7.3.1.2.2.3. Robotic Ground Systems
      • 7.3.1.2.3. By Application
        • 7.3.1.2.3.1. Targeting and Engagement
        • 7.3.1.2.3.2. Surveillance and Reconnaissance
        • 7.3.1.2.3.3. Area Denial and Swarm Control
  • 7.3.2. Canada
  • 7.3.3. Mexico

All segments will be provided for all regions and countries covered

8. Europe Autonomous Military Weapons Market Outlook, 2018-2032F

• 8.1. Germany
• 8.2. France
• 8.3. Italy
• 8.4. United Kingdom
• 8.5. Russia
• 8.6. Netherlands
• 8.7. Spain
• 8.8. Turkey
• 8.9. Poland

9. Asia-Pacific Autonomous Military Weapons Market Outlook, 2018-2032F

• 9.1. India
• 9.2. China
• 9.3. Japan
• 9.4. Australia
• 9.5. Vietnam
• 9.6. South Korea
• 9.7. Indonesia
• 9.8. Philippines

10. South America Autonomous Military Weapons Market Outlook, 2018-2032F

• 10.1. Brazil
• 10.2. Argentina

11. Middle East and Africa Autonomous Military Weapons Market Outlook, 2018-2032F

• 11.1. Saudi Arabia
• 11.2. UAE
• 11.3. South Africa

12. Porter's Five Forces Analysis

13. PESTLE Analysis

14. Market Dynamics

• 14.1. Market Drivers
• 14.2. Market Challenges

15. Market Trends and Developments

16. Case Studies

17. Competitive Landscape

• 17.1. Competition Matrix of Top 5 Market Leaders
• 17.2. SWOT Analysis for Top 5 Players
• 17.3. Key Players Landscape for Top 10 Market Players
  • 17.3.1. BAE Systems plc
    • 17.3.1.1. Company Details
    • 17.3.1.2. Key Management Personnel
    • 17.3.1.3. Key Products Offered
    • 17.3.1.4. Key Financials (As Reported)
    • 17.3.1.5. Key Market Focus and Geographical Presence
    • 17.3.1.6. Recent Developments/Collaborations/Partnerships/Mergers and Acquisitions
  • 17.3.2. Elbit Systems Ltd.
  • 17.3.3. Northrop Grumman Corporation
  • 17.3.4. Israel Aerospace Industries Ltd.
  • 17.3.5. General Dynamics Corporation
  • 17.3.6. Textron Inc.
  • 17.3.7. Rheinmetall AG
  • 17.3.8. Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd.
  • 17.3.9. Thales Group
  • 17.3.10. Lockheed Martin Corporation

Companies mentioned above DO NOT hold any order as per market share and can be changed as per information available during research work.

18. Strategic Recommendations

19. About Us and Disclaimer