자동차용 기어박스 시장 예측(-2030년) : 유형별, 차종별, 소재별, 지역별 세계 분석

According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Automotive Gearbox Market is accounted for $68.1 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $104.6 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 7.4% during the forecast period. An automotive gearbox is a vehicle's drivetrain system that transmits power from the engine to the wheels, enabling the vehicle to move at different speeds and torque levels. It functions as a set of gears and gear mechanisms that allow the driver to select the optimal gear ratio for various driving conditions. By adjusting the gear ratio, the gearbox ensures that the engine operates efficiently, balancing speed and torque to improve vehicle performance, fuel efficiency and ensuring a smooth driving experience by allowing the engine to operate within its optimal range.

Market Dynamics:

Driver:

Growing popularity of electric vehicles

The rise in electric vehicles (EVs) has led to a shift towards specialized gear systems, allowing manufacturers to introduce advanced, efficient transmission solutions. This innovation in gearbox technology has allowed manufacturers to diversify their offerings, including gear reduction systems and transmissions designed to handle the unique characteristics of electric motors, such as high torque at low speeds. This market expansion has created new opportunities for gearbox manufacturers.

Restraint:

High costs of advanced gearbox systems

Advanced gearbox systems, like dual-clutch transmissions and continuously variable transmissions, are expensive to produce due to their complex engineering and manufacturing costs increasing vehicle prices, making them less affordable for consumers and potentially reducing demand. Additionally, the high cost of these systems may limit their adoption in budget segments, as budget and mid-range vehicles may continue to rely on traditional manual or simple automatic gearboxes, creating a market disparity where only certain segments benefit from the latest gearbox technologies.

Opportunity:

Advancements in transmission technologies

Advancements in vehicle technology, such as dual-clutch transmissions, continuously variable transmissions, and advanced automatic gear systems, improve vehicle performance by smoother gear shifts, better power delivery, and enhanced acceleration. Modern transmission technologies often integrate with advanced driver assistance systems, creating an enhanced driving experience with features like adaptive cruise control and automated gear shifting propelling the market growth.

Threat:

Complex manufacturing processes

Complex manufacturing processes can lead to longer lead times for automotive gear systems, causing supply chain inefficiencies and market shortages. These gearboxes are more prone to wear and require advanced maintenance and repair procedures, potentially deterring consumers from investing in vehicles with such transmissions due to higher maintenance costs and specialized service requirements impeding the market growth.

Covid-19 Impact

The COVID-19 pandemic had a significant impact on the automotive gearbox market, leading to disruptions in supply chains, manufacturing delays, and reduced consumer demand due to economic uncertainty. Lockdowns and restrictions caused factory closures and labor shortages, slowing production and distribution. However, as economies reopened and manufacturers adapted with health protocols and digital solutions, the market began to recover, fostering innovation and new strategies for future growth.

The manual transmission segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period

Over the estimation period, the manual transmission segment is likely to capture the largest market share because manual transmissions are highly valued in regions where driving enthusiasts prefer greater control over gear shifts, supporting a segment of the market where manual gearboxes are a desired feature. They also offer better fuel efficiency, appealing to drivers seeking optimal fuel economy, sustaining interest in manual systems, especially in fuel-saving technologies markets.

The commercial & industrial vehicles segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period

The commercial & industrial vehicles segment is projected to have the highest CAGR in the automotive gearbox market during the extrapolated period due to their ability to handle heavy loads and demanding driving conditions. This demand is driven by the need for advanced and specialized gearbox systems. Additionally, the growth in heavy-duty transmission sales, including multi-speed transmissions, is enhancing the market for these advanced systems.

Region with largest share:

North America is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period owing to the integration of advanced transmission technologies, such as dual-clutch and continuously variable transmissions, has improved vehicle performance and fuel efficiency in North America. As electric and hybrid vehicle production increases, the demand for specialized gear systems to handle electric motors' unique power characteristics is increasing enhancing the regions market growth.

Region with highest CAGR:

During the estimation period, the Asia Pacific region is forecasted to record the highest growth rate because Asia Pacific countries are implementing stricter emissions regulations, encouraging automakers to adopt efficient transmission technologies to reduce fuel consumption and CO2 emissions. Incentives and subsidies for electric vehicles and hybrids in countries like China, Japan, and South Korea encourage the adoption of new technologies related to powertrain and gearbox systems.

Key players in the market

Some of the key players in Automotive Gearbox market include Aisin Seiki Co., Ltd., Allison Transmission, American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings Inc., BorgWarner Inc., Eaton Corporation plc, GKN Automotive Limited, Hyundai Powertech, Jatco Ltd, Magna International Inc., Ricardo, Schaeffler, Voith Group and ZF Friedrichshafen AG.

Key Developments:

In November 2024, Schaeffler AG has agreed on structural measures with a regional focus on Germany and Europe aimed at securing a long-term increase in the company's competitiveness. The decision comes in response to the challenging market environment, the increasing intensity of global competition, and ongoing transformation.

In September 2024, Eaton announced the signing of a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with the Government of Tamil Nadu. This agreement marks a significant step in Eaton's expansion plans for its Crouse-Hinds and B-Line business, reinforcing the company's commitment to driving.

Types Covered:

• Manual Transmission
• Automatic Manual Transmission
• Semi-Automatic Gearbox
• Continuously Variable Transmission
• Dual-Clutch Transmission
• Other Types

Vehicle Types Covered:

• Passenger Cars
• Commercial Vehicles
• Electric & Hybrid Vehicles
• Luxury & High-Performance Vehicles
• Other Vehicle Types

Materials Covered:

• Steel
• Aluminum
• Composite
• Other Materials

Regions Covered:

• North America
  • US
  • Canada
  • Mexico
• Europe
  • Germany
  • UK
  • Italy
  • France
  • Spain
  • Rest of Europe
• Asia Pacific
  • Japan
  • China
  • India
  • Australia
  • New Zealand
  • South Korea
  • Rest of Asia Pacific
• South America
  • Argentina
  • Brazil
  • Chile
  • Rest of South America
• Middle East & Africa
  • Saudi Arabia
  • UAE
  • Qatar
  • South Africa
  • Rest of Middle East & Africa

What our report offers:

• Market share assessments for the regional and country-level segments
• Strategic recommendations for the new entrants
• Covers Market data for the years 2022, 2023, 2024, 2026, and 2030
• Market Trends (Drivers, Constraints, Opportunities, Threats, Challenges, Investment Opportunities, and recommendations)
• Strategic recommendations in key business segments based on the market estimations
• Competitive landscaping mapping the key common trends
• Company profiling with detailed strategies, financials, and recent developments
• Supply chain trends mapping the latest technological advancements

Free Customization Offerings:

All the customers of this report will be entitled to receive one of the following free customization options:

• Company Profiling
  • Comprehensive profiling of additional market players (up to 3)
  • SWOT Analysis of key players (up to 3)
• Regional Segmentation
  • Market estimations, Forecasts and CAGR of any prominent country as per the client's interest (Note: Depends on feasibility check)
• Competitive Benchmarking
  • Benchmarking of key players based on product portfolio, geographical presence, and strategic alliances

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

2 Preface

• 2.1 Abstract
• 2.2 Stake Holders
• 2.3 Research Scope
• 2.4 Research Methodology
  • 2.4.1 Data Mining
  • 2.4.2 Data Analysis
  • 2.4.3 Data Validation
  • 2.4.4 Research Approach
• 2.5 Research Sources
  • 2.5.1 Primary Research Sources
  • 2.5.2 Secondary Research Sources
  • 2.5.3 Assumptions

3 Market Trend Analysis

• 3.1 Introduction
• 3.2 Drivers
• 3.3 Restraints
• 3.4 Opportunities
• 3.5 Threats
• 3.6 Emerging Markets
• 3.7 Impact of Covid-19

4 Porters Five Force Analysis

• 4.1 Bargaining power of suppliers
• 4.2 Bargaining power of buyers
• 4.3 Threat of substitutes
• 4.4 Threat of new entrants
• 4.5 Competitive rivalry

5 Global Automotive Gearbox Market, By Type

• 5.1 Introduction
• 5.2 Manual Transmission
• 5.3 Automatic Manual Transmission
• 5.4 Semi-Automatic Gearbox
• 5.5 Continuously Variable Transmission
• 5.6 Dual-Clutch Transmission
• 5.7 Other Types

6 Global Automotive Gearbox Market, By Vehicle Type

• 6.1 Introduction
• 6.2 Passenger Cars
• 6.3 Commercial Vehicles
• 6.4 Electric & Hybrid Vehicles
• 6.5 Luxury & High-Performance Vehicles
• 6.6 Other Vehicle Types

7 Global Automotive Gearbox Market, By Material

• 7.1 Introduction
• 7.2 Steel
• 7.3 Aluminum
• 7.4 Composite
• 7.5 Other Materials

8 Global Automotive Gearbox Market, By Geography

• 8.1 Introduction
• 8.2 North America
  • 8.2.1 US
  • 8.2.2 Canada
  • 8.2.3 Mexico
• 8.3 Europe
  • 8.3.1 Germany
  • 8.3.2 UK
  • 8.3.3 Italy
  • 8.3.4 France
  • 8.3.5 Spain
  • 8.3.6 Rest of Europe
• 8.4 Asia Pacific
  • 8.4.1 Japan
  • 8.4.2 China
  • 8.4.3 India
  • 8.4.4 Australia
  • 8.4.5 New Zealand
  • 8.4.6 South Korea
  • 8.4.7 Rest of Asia Pacific
• 8.5 South America
  • 8.5.1 Argentina
  • 8.5.2 Brazil
  • 8.5.3 Chile
  • 8.5.4 Rest of South America
• 8.6 Middle East & Africa
  • 8.6.1 Saudi Arabia
  • 8.6.2 UAE
  • 8.6.3 Qatar
  • 8.6.4 South Africa
  • 8.6.5 Rest of Middle East & Africa

9 Key Developments

• 9.1 Agreements, Partnerships, Collaborations and Joint Ventures
• 9.2 Acquisitions & Mergers
• 9.3 New Product Launch
• 9.4 Expansions
• 9.5 Other Key Strategies

10 Company Profiling

• 10.1 Aisin Seiki Co., Ltd.
• 10.2 Allison Transmission
• 10.3 American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings Inc.
• 10.4 BorgWarner Inc.
• 10.5 Eaton Corporation plc
• 10.6 GKN Automotive Limited
• 10.7 Hyundai Powertech
• 10.8 Jatco Ltd
• 10.9 Magna International Inc.
• 10.10 Ricardo
• 10.11 Schaeffler
• 10.12 Voith Group
• 10.13 ZF Friedrichshafen AG