세계의 전기버스 및 대중교통 시장 예측(-2032년) : 추진 방식별, 차량 구성별, 충전 유형별, 용도별, 지역별 분석

According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Electric Bus & Public Transit Market is accounted for $23.8 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $59.55 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 14.0% during the forecast period. Electric buses are reshaping public transportation by delivering cleaner and quieter mobility solutions. Urban transit agencies are replacing diesel fleets with battery-powered and hydrogen-fuel electric buses to fight pollution and lower carbon footprints. Since these buses offer reduced operating expenses and require less mechanical upkeep, they are becoming a cost-effective choice for long-term fleet planning. Advancements in charging stations, rapid charging systems, and smart grid integration help maintain consistent route coverage. Global governments are supporting deployment through policies, grants, and infrastructure investments. With ongoing improvements in energy storage and vehicle technology, electric buses are poised to become a core element of sustainable city transportation worldwide.

According to India's Ministry of Heavy Industries, over 7,000 electric buses have been sanctioned under the FAME-II scheme as of 2023, with more than 3,000 already deployed across major cities. This reflects strong central support for electrifying public transport.

Market Dynamics:

Driver:

Rising environmental regulations and emission reduction targets

Stricter pollution laws and climate commitments are accelerating the shift toward electric buses in public transport networks. Diesel buses contribute heavily to urban air contaminants, causing authorities to adopt tougher emission regulations and clean-mobility frameworks. Since electric buses operate with zero exhaust and minimal urban noise, transit planners view them as an essential tool for environmental improvement. Numerous nations are rolling out green-transport policies, expanding low-pollution zones, and setting deadlines to phase out fossil-fuel buses. These initiatives are pressuring operators to replace older fleets with eco-friendly models. With many cities aiming for reduced carbon footprints, electric buses are becoming a priority component in sustainable public transit strategies.

Restraint:

High initial investment and procurement costs

The primary challenge restricting the growth of electric buses is the substantial upfront financial requirement. Compared to diesel vehicles, electric buses demand costly batteries, electronic control units, and specialized propulsion technology, raising purchase prices considerably. Fleet operators must also allocate funds for charging depots, rapid chargers, and electrical upgrades to support daily operations. Many regional transport agencies lack the capital to make these investments, delaying their transition plans. Even though electric buses reduce fuel and maintenance expenses over time, the initial cost gap remains difficult to overcome. As a result, high purchase and infrastructure expenses continue to slow down large-scale market expansion.

Opportunity:

Technological advancements in batteries and charging systems

Continuous improvements in battery technology and charging methods are unlocking major growth prospects for electric public transit. Higher-density battery solutions deliver extended range, quicker charging, and improved durability, allowing buses to run longer routes with fewer interruptions. Advancements such as solid-state cells, inductive charging platforms, and rapid DC charging stations are increasing operational efficiency. Enhanced cooling and energy-management systems make buses reliable even under harsh environmental conditions. As manufacturing scales and unit prices decrease, electric mobility becomes more affordable for transit agencies. These technology upgrades boost reliability, reduce downtime, and encourage faster adoption of electric buses across cities aiming for cleaner and smarter transportation systems.

Threat:

Supply chain instability and battery material shortages

Instability in global material supply chains is a major threat for electric bus growth, particularly because batteries rely on scarce metals like lithium, cobalt, nickel, and rare earth minerals. Limited mining output and refining capacity create price volatility and shipment delays. Geopolitical issues, export limits, and trade disputes make procurement unpredictable for manufacturers. Rising demand from EV automakers and grid-storage companies puts additional pressure on material availability. When shortages occur, production costs increase and fleet delivery schedules are pushed back. Unless recycling systems expand and new mining sources are developed, long-term material constraints may slow deployment and reduce affordability of electric buses in public transport networks.

Covid-19 Impact:

The Covid-19 outbreak had a notable influence on the Electric Bus & Public Transit Market, mainly through halted production activities, slowed procurement cycles, and reduced ridership during lockdown phases. Financial pressure on transit authorities caused delays in electrification projects and limited investment capacity. Component shortages, especially for batteries and electronic parts, further obstructed manufacturing schedules. Yet, the crisis also boosted interest in sustainable transportation as many governments introduced green recovery budgets and new zero-emission policies. Additional subsidies, charging infrastructure projects, and environmental initiatives helped revive confidence in electric public transit. Although the short-term impact weakened growth, long-term adoption strategies remained resilient and continued progressing worldwide.

The battery electric bus (BEB) segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period

The battery electric bus (BEB) segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period because they are easier to integrate, produce no exhaust emissions, and fit well within growing charging networks. Transport authorities choose BEBs for reduced fuel expenses, smoother rides, and dependable performance on urban routes with frequent halts. Faster progress in battery innovation has led to improved range, quicker charging, and stronger fleet reliability. Supportive regulations, clean mobility programs, and rising investment in charging infrastructure help accelerate adoption. As urban planners look for reliable zero-emission mobility, BEBs have become the preferred option for daily service, making them the most widely accepted segment in public transportation.

The articulated bus (>12 meters, jointed) segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period

Over the forecast period, the articulated bus (>12 meters, jointed) segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate due to their ability to carry larger passenger loads and improve service frequency on busy routes. They are widely suited for high-demand corridors, metro-feeder systems, and airport transportation where continuous passenger movement is required. Their design allows transit agencies to handle peak-hour traffic with fewer vehicles, decreasing road congestion and operating expenses. Advancements in battery technology and charging infrastructure enable longer service hours with minimal downtime. With many cities investing in modern, high-capacity public transport networks, articulated electric buses are gaining rapid preference and accelerating fleet electrification.

Region with largest share:

During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share due to its rapid urban growth, extensive public transit systems, and robust policy support for emissions-free transportation. Nations like China and India are aggressively transitioning from diesel buses to electric fleets to curb pollution and upgrade mobility infrastructure. Dominant bus manufacturers, generous subsidies, and advanced charging station deployment further reinforce the region's prominence. As numerous large cities expand and modernise their transit operations, the Asia-Pacific region remains the foremost arena for electric bus adoption and plays a key role in driving global market direction.

Region with highest CAGR:

Over the forecast period, the Europe region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR because of its strong environmental policies, clean transport strategies, and rising investment in zero-emission vehicles. Many European nations have set firm deadlines to retire diesel buses, driving rapid demand for electric models. Cities are introducing low-emission districts, expanding depot and on-route charging, and offering financial incentives for operators. Local manufacturers are advancing battery efficiency and fast-charging solutions tailored for dense transit networks. With public preference shifting toward pollution-free mobility and climate regulations becoming stricter, Europe remains the fastest-growing region for electric bus deployment and urban fleet transformation.

Key players in the market

Some of the key players in Electric Bus & Public Transit Market include Proterra, King Long Bus, Irizar e-mobility, Alexander Dennis, Yutong, DFAC, BYD, Zhong Tong, Foton, ANKAI, Guangtong, Nanjing Gold Dragon, Volvo, New Flyer and Daimler.

Key Developments:

In October 2025, BYD and HONOR launch deep collaboration to integrate smartphone connectivity and vehicle intelligence, setting the stage for a new smart-mobility ecosystem. In a move that could reshape connected mobility, smartphone manufacturer HONOR and new-energy vehicle maker BYD have signed a strategic partnership to deliver AI-enabled intelligent vehicle experiences.

In August 2025, Daimler Truck AG, Mitsubishi Fuso Truck and Bus Corporation, Hino Motors Ltd., and Toyota Motor Corporation have signed definitive agreements to integrate Mitsubishi Fuso and Hino. The agreement marks a major step in creating a unified force to accelerate innovation, decarbonisation, and competitiveness in the commercial vehicle sector.

In June 2025, Volvo Cars has signed an agreement with Swedish steelmaker SSAB to begin using recycled, near zero-emission steel in its manufacturing operations from 2025, reinforcing its goal to reach net-zero emissions by 2040 and increase circularity across its supply chain.

Propulsion Types Covered:

• Battery Electric Bus (BEB)
• Fuel Cell Electric Bus (FCEB)
• Plug-in Hybrid Electric Bus (PHEB)
• Hybrid Electric Bus (HEB)

Vehicle Configurations Covered:

• Mini Bus (<9 meters)
• Standard Bus (9-12 meters)
• Articulated Bus (>12 meters, jointed)
• Double-Decker Bus (2-level)

Charging Types Covered:

• Depot Charging
• Opportunity Charging
• Dynamic Charging

Applications Covered:

• Urban Public Transit
• Intercity Public Transit
• School Transport
• Airport Shuttle Services

Regions Covered:

• North America
  • US
  • Canada
  • Mexico
• Europe
  • Germany
  • UK
  • Italy
  • France
  • Spain
  • Rest of Europe
• Asia Pacific
  • Japan
  • China
  • India
  • Australia
  • New Zealand
  • South Korea
  • Rest of Asia Pacific
• South America
  • Argentina
  • Brazil
  • Chile
  • Rest of South America
• Middle East & Africa
  • Saudi Arabia
  • UAE
  • Qatar
  • South Africa
  • Rest of Middle East & Africa

What our report offers:

• Market share assessments for the regional and country-level segments
• Strategic recommendations for the new entrants
• Covers Market data for the years 2024, 2025, 2026, 2028, and 2032
• Market Trends (Drivers, Constraints, Opportunities, Threats, Challenges, Investment Opportunities, and recommendations)
• Strategic recommendations in key business segments based on the market estimations
• Competitive landscaping mapping the key common trends
• Company profiling with detailed strategies, financials, and recent developments
• Supply chain trends mapping the latest technological advancements

Free Customization Offerings:

All the customers of this report will be entitled to receive one of the following free customization options:

• Company Profiling
  • Comprehensive profiling of additional market players (up to 3)
  • SWOT Analysis of key players (up to 3)
• Regional Segmentation
  • Market estimations, Forecasts and CAGR of any prominent country as per the client's interest (Note: Depends on feasibility check)
• Competitive Benchmarking
  • Benchmarking of key players based on product portfolio, geographical presence, and strategic alliances

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

2 Preface

• 2.1 Abstract
• 2.2 Stake Holders
• 2.3 Research Scope
• 2.4 Research Methodology
  • 2.4.1 Data Mining
  • 2.4.2 Data Analysis
  • 2.4.3 Data Validation
  • 2.4.4 Research Approach
• 2.5 Research Sources
  • 2.5.1 Primary Research Sources
  • 2.5.2 Secondary Research Sources
  • 2.5.3 Assumptions

3 Market Trend Analysis

• 3.1 Introduction
• 3.2 Drivers
• 3.3 Restraints
• 3.4 Opportunities
• 3.5 Threats
• 3.6 Application Analysis
• 3.7 Emerging Markets
• 3.8 Impact of Covid-19

4 Porters Five Force Analysis

• 4.1 Bargaining power of suppliers
• 4.2 Bargaining power of buyers
• 4.3 Threat of substitutes
• 4.4 Threat of new entrants
• 4.5 Competitive rivalry

5 Global Electric Bus & Public Transit Market, By Propulsion Type

• 5.1 Introduction
• 5.2 Battery Electric Bus (BEB)
• 5.3 Fuel Cell Electric Bus (FCEB)
• 5.4 Plug-in Hybrid Electric Bus (PHEB)
• 5.5 Hybrid Electric Bus (HEB)

6 Global Electric Bus & Public Transit Market, By Vehicle Configuration

• 6.1 Introduction
• 6.2 Mini Bus (<9 meters)
• 6.3 Standard Bus (9-12 meters)
• 6.4 Articulated Bus (>12 meters, jointed)
• 6.5 Double-Decker Bus (2-level)

7 Global Electric Bus & Public Transit Market, By Charging Type

• 7.1 Introduction
• 7.2 Depot Charging
• 7.3 Opportunity Charging
• 7.4 Dynamic Charging

8 Global Electric Bus & Public Transit Market, By Application

• 8.1 Introduction
• 8.2 Urban Public Transit
• 8.3 Intercity Public Transit
• 8.4 School Transport
• 8.5 Airport Shuttle Services

9 Global Electric Bus & Public Transit Market, By Geography

• 9.1 Introduction
• 9.2 North America
  • 9.2.1 US
  • 9.2.2 Canada
  • 9.2.3 Mexico
• 9.3 Europe
  • 9.3.1 Germany
  • 9.3.2 UK
  • 9.3.3 Italy
  • 9.3.4 France
  • 9.3.5 Spain
  • 9.3.6 Rest of Europe
• 9.4 Asia Pacific
  • 9.4.1 Japan
  • 9.4.2 China
  • 9.4.3 India
  • 9.4.4 Australia
  • 9.4.5 New Zealand
  • 9.4.6 South Korea
  • 9.4.7 Rest of Asia Pacific
• 9.5 South America
  • 9.5.1 Argentina
  • 9.5.2 Brazil
  • 9.5.3 Chile
  • 9.5.4 Rest of South America
• 9.6 Middle East & Africa
  • 9.6.1 Saudi Arabia
  • 9.6.2 UAE
  • 9.6.3 Qatar
  • 9.6.4 South Africa
  • 9.6.5 Rest of Middle East & Africa

10 Key Developments

• 10.1 Agreements, Partnerships, Collaborations and Joint Ventures
• 10.2 Acquisitions & Mergers
• 10.3 New Product Launch
• 10.4 Expansions
• 10.5 Other Key Strategies

11 Company Profiling

• 11.1 Proterra
• 11.2 King Long Bus
• 11.3 Irizar e-mobility
• 11.4 Alexander Dennis
• 11.5 Yutong
• 11.6 DFAC
• 11.7 BYD
• 11.8 Zhong Tong
• 11.9 Foton
• 11.10 ANKAI
• 11.11 Guangtong
• 11.12 Nanjing Gold Dragon
• 11.13 Volvo
• 11.14 New Flyer
• 11.15 Daimler