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HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암 : 시장 인사이트, 역학 및 시장 예측(2036년)

Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer - Market Insights, Epidemiology, and Market Forecast - 2036

발행일: | 리서치사: 구분자 DelveInsight | 페이지 정보: 영문 353 Pages | 배송안내 : 2-10일 (영업일 기준)

    
    
    




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영문목차

HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암에 대한 인사이트와 동향

  • 지난 10년 동안 내분비 요법은 조기 및 진행성 HR 양성/HER2 음성 유방암에 대한 표준 치료법으로 자리 잡았습니다. FASLODEX(플루베스트란트)는 단독 내분비 요법 제제로 사용 가능한 약물 중에서도 가장 효과적이고 내약성이 뛰어난 약물 중 하나입니다. FASLODEX의 생체이용률이 낮고 정맥 주사라는 불편한 제형인 만큼, 경구 투여가 가능한 차세대 선택적 에스트로겐 수용체 분해제(SERD)가 1차 및 2차 치료 현장에서 입지를 다질 기회가 생기고 있습니다.
  • 승인된 약물군 중에서도 CDK4/6 억제제(팔보시크리브, 리보시크리브, 아베마시크리브)는 무재발 생존 기간(PFS)을 연장시켜 주기 때문에 1차 및 2차 치료에서 가장 큰 주목을 받고 있습니다.
  • IBRANCE(팔보시클리브)는 1차 치료의 주력 약제로, 1차 및 2차 치료에서 오리지널 의약품으로서의 우위를 차지할 뿐만 아니라 매출액 면에서도 1위를 기록하고 있습니다.
  • NCCN(미국 종합 암 네트워크)의 유방암 임상 진료 지침에 따르면, KISQALI(리보시크리브)를 아로마타제 억제제(AI)와 병용할 경우, HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암(MBC) 환자에 대한 1차 치료에서 카테고리 1로 지정된 유일한 권장 CDK4/6 억제제로 권장되고 있습니다.
  • ORSERDU는 ESR1 변이를 가진 ER 양성, HER2 음성 종양의 치료에 특히 적응증이 승인된 최초이자 유일한 치료법입니다. 이번 승인은 내분비 요법 분야에서 약 20년 만에 이루어진 혁신입니다.
  • 최근 동향을 보면, CDK4/6 억제제 치료 이후의 치료 환경에서 항체약물접합체(ADC)나 경구용 SERD를 도입함으로써, 이 환자군에 대한 치료 영역에 새로운 선택지가 추가되어 치료의 폭이 넓어질 가능성이 시사되고 있습니다. 그 밖의 치료법으로는 AKT 억제제, mTOR 억제제, SERM, PI3K 억제제, PARP 억제제, 그리고 TROP-2를 표적으로 하는 ADC 등이 있습니다.
  • HR+/HER2- 치료제 파이프라인은 견조한 양상을 보이고 있으며, 미충족 의료 수요를 충족시키고 시장 성장을 뒷받침할 것으로 기대되는 여러 후기 단계 후보 약물(3상, 2/3상 및 2상)이 존재합니다. 그러나 많은 차세대 SERD는 이미 확고히 자리 잡은 CDK4/6 억제제와의 치열한 경쟁에 직면할 가능성이 있으며, 그 결과 시장 보급이 제한되고 성장이 둔화될 우려가 있습니다.

G7 국가별 HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암 시장 규모 및 전망

  • 2025년 HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암 시장 규모 : 약 140억 달러
  • HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암의 성장률(2026-2036년) : 연평균 성장률(CAGR) 약 8%

'HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암 시장 보고서'에서는 표준 치료, 임상 실무 및 진화하는 치료 알고리즘을 포함한 현재 시장 상황에 대한 종합적인 분석을 제공합니다. 본 보고서에서는 HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암 환자의 부담 동향, 수익 및 시장 점유율 동향, 정점 시기의 환자 점유율 및 치료 도입 현황에 대한 분석을 평가함과 동시에, 전 세계 각 지역의 시장 규모에 대한 상세한 평가 및 성장률 예측(과거 데이터 및 2022-2036년 예측)을 제공합니다. 본 보고서에서는 HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암 분야의 주요 미충족 의료 수요를 부각시키고, 경쟁 구도 및 임상 현황을 분석하여 고부가가치 성장 기회를 도출함으로써, 향후 시장 성장 가능성에 대한 명확한 전망을 제시하고 있습니다.

HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암 시장을 주도하는 주요 요인

HR 양성/HER2 음성 유방암의 유병률 증가

HR+/HER2-는 가장 흔한 유방암 아형으로, 전체 유방암 사례 중 상당 부분을 차지합니다. 이 중 상당수가 전이성 질환으로 진행되어 장기간의 치료가 필요합니다.

내분비 요법 및 표적 요법에 대한 높은 의존도

내분비 요법과 CDK4/6 억제제 등의 표적 치료제를 병용하는 방식이 널리 보급되어 있으며, 무재발 생존 기간(PFS)의 개선과 1차 치료에서의 표준 치료법으로 자리매김함에 따라 시장 성장을 지속적으로 견인하고 있습니다.

표적 치료의 선택지 확대

PI3K/AKT/mTOR 등의 신호전달 경로를 표적으로 하는 신약 및 차세대 SERD의 도입으로 치료 선택지가 확대되면서, 시장의 지속적인 성장을 뒷받침하고 있습니다.

HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암의 이해와 치료 알고리즘

HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암의 개요 및 진단

HR 양성/HER2 음성 유방암은 유방암 중 가장 흔한 아형으로, 에스트로겐 및 프로게스테론 호르몬 수용체를 가지고 있으며, HER2 과발현이 관찰되지 않는 암세포를 특징으로 합니다. 이 아형은 일반적으로 예후가 양호하며, 호르몬에 의존하는 증식을 억제하기 위한 호르몬 요법이 종종 시행됩니다. 종양 절제나 표적 치료에는 수술이나 방사선 치료가 사용되는 반면, 진행된 경우에는 화학요법이나 CDK4/6 억제제 등의 표적 치료가 고려될 수 있습니다. 조기 발견이 매우 중요하며, HR 양성/HER2 음성 유방암의 진단 및 치료에 대처하기 위해서는 의료 종사자와 주변 사람들의 지원이 필수적입니다. 생검을 통해 진단이 확정되고, 암의 특성이 밝혀집니다. 병기 분류 검사를 통해 암의 진행 단계를 평가하고, 그 정보를 바탕으로 다학제 팀이 호르몬 요법, 수술, 방사선 치료, 경우에 따라서는 화학요법이나 분자 표적 요법을 조합하여 환자 한 명 한 명에게 맞춘 치료 계획을 수립합니다. 진단에 따른 정신적 부담을 덜어주는 데 있어, 심리적 돌봄은 매우 중요한 역할을 합니다. 또한, 사후 관리를 통해 지속적인 경과 관찰과 필요에 따른 치료 조정이 이루어지며, 회복과 생존에 대한 희망이 키워집니다.

HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암의 치료

HR 양성/HER2 음성 유방암의 치료는 일반적으로 다각적인 전략에 따라 이루어집니다. 호르몬 요법은 에스트로겐에 의존하는 종양의 증식을 표적으로 삼기 때문에 여전히 치료의 핵심을 이루고 있습니다. 수술(종양 부분 절제술 또는 유방 전체 절제술)을 통해 종양을 절제한 후, 잔존 병변을 완전히 제거하기 위해 방사선 치료가 시행되는 경우가 많습니다. 치료 사례에 따라 화학요법이나 CDK4/6 억제제 등의 분자 표적 치료가 추가될 수 있습니다. 치료 방침은 병기, 수용체 프로파일 및 환자의 희망에 따라 결정되며, 치료 성과를 최적화하기 위해 지속적인 경과 관찰이 이루어집니다. 내분비 요법에는 선택적 에스트로겐 수용체 조절제(SERM), 아로마타제 억제제(AI), 선택적 에스트로겐 수용체 분해제(SERD) 등 여러 종류가 있습니다. 현재의 연구에 따르면, 이러한 치료법과 특히 PI3K/AKT/mTOR 및 CDK4/6 경로를 억제하는 표적 치료제를 병용하는 방식이 점점 더 주목받고 있습니다.

HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암의 역학

HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암의 역학 분석 및 예측에 관한 주요 조사 결과

  • 추산에 따르면, 2025년 주요 7개국에서 HR 양성/HER2 음성 유방암의 총 발병 건수는 약 48만 6,000건이었습니다. 주요 7개국의 환자 수는 예측 기간(2026-2036년) 동안 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
  • HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암의 환자 수는 미국에서 가장 많으며, 2025년에는 약 57,000건을 차지할 것으로 예상됩니다.
  • 추산에 따르면, 미국에서 HR 양성/HER2 음성 유방암 사례의 대부분은 60세에서 79세 사이의 사람들에게서 발생하며, 2025년에는 전체 사례의 약 48%를 차지할 것으로 보입니다.
  • EU4 국가 및 영국 중에서 HR 양성/HER2 음성 유방암의 총 신규 환자 수가 가장 많았던 나라는 독일로, 2025년에는 약 50,500건이었으나, 스페인은 신규 환자 수가 가장 적었습니다.

HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암에 대한 승인된 치료법

KISQALI(리보시크리브) : 노바티스

KISQALI는 다음 약물과 병용하여 HR+, HER2- 진행성 또는 전이성 유방암을 가진 성인 환자의 치료에 사용되는 키나아제 억제제입니다:

  • 초기 내분비 요법으로서의 아로마타제 억제제
  • 폐경 후 여성 또는 남성의 경우, 초기 내분비 요법으로, 혹은 내분비 요법 후 병세가 진행된 후 풀베스트란트를 병용하는 경우.

2025년 10월, 노바티스는 KISQALI의 주요 3상 임상시험인 NATALEE 시험의 5년 분석 결과를 발표했습니다. 이 결과에 따르면, KISQALI를 이용한 3년간의 치료 후, 중앙값 2년이 경과한 시점에서도 지속적인 효과가 확인되었습니다. 그 결과, 고위험군인 2기 및 3기 HR+/HER2- 조기 유방암(EBC) 환자 중 가장 광범위한 집단에서, KISQALI와 내분비 요법을 병용한 군은 내분비 요법 단독 요법과 비교하여 재발 위험이 28.4% 감소한 것으로 나타났습니다.

VERZENIO(아베마시크리브) : 일라이 릴리

VERZENIO는 CDK4/6 억제제로 알려진 표적 치료제입니다. VERZENIO는 화학요법이 아닌 경구용 정제입니다. 세포 내에서 작용하여 CDK4/6의 활성을 억제함으로써 암세포의 증식을 억제하고, 궁극적으로는 암세포를 사멸시키는 작용을 합니다(전임상시험에 근거함). 미국 종합암네트워크(NCCN)는 보조요법에서 내분비요법에 VERZENIO를 병용하는 2년간의 치료를 카테고리 1의 치료 옵션으로 고려할 것을 권장하고 있습니다.

2018년 2월, 미국 식품의약국(FDA)은 폐경 후 HR 양성, HER2 음성 진행성 또는 전이성 유방암 환자를 대상으로 한 초기 내분비 요법으로, VERZENIO와 아로마타제 억제제의 병용요법을 승인했습니다.

HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암 파이프라인 분석

ARV-471(베프데게스트란트) : Arvinas

베프데게스트란트는 ER 양성/HER2 음성 국소 진행성 또는 전이성 유방암 환자의 치료를 목적으로 개발 중인 경구용 PROTAC 에스트로겐 수용체 단백질 분해제입니다. Arvinas사와 화이자는 베프데게스트란트의 개발 및 상용화를 위해 협력하고 있습니다. 이 프로그램은 현재 3상 임상시험 단계에 있습니다. 미국 식품의약국(FDA)은 베프데게스트란의 신약 승인 신청(NDA)을 심사 중입니다. FDA는 처방약 사용자 부담금법(PDUFA)에 따라 심사 완료 예정일을 2026년 6월 5일로 지정했습니다. 또한, 베프데게스트란은 FDA로부터 패스트트랙 지정을 받았습니다.

2025년 11월, 알비나스사는 베프데게스트란트에 관한 여러 편의 초록이 곧 개최될 샌안토니오 유방암 심포지엄(SABCS)에서 발표될 예정으로 선정되었다고 발표했습니다.

2025년 9월, 아비나스사와 화이자는 베프데게스트란의 상용화 및 향후 추가 개발을 위한 제3자 파트너를 공동으로 선정할 계획을 발표했습니다.

OP1250(파라제스트란) : 오레마 파마슈티컬스

OP-1250은 저분자 완전 에스트로겐 수용체 길항제(CERAN)입니다. OP-1250은 리간드 결합 포켓 내에서의 결합을 두고, 내인성 활성화 에스트로겐 리간드인 17-β-에스트라디올과 경쟁합니다. OP-1250은 에스트로겐에 의한 전사 활성을 억제하고, 에스트로겐에 의한 유방암 세포의 증식을 억제하며, 에스트로겐 수용체의 분해를 유도합니다.

2025년 10월, 오레마 파마슈티컬스는 ER 양성/HER2 음성 진행성 또는 전이성 유방암 환자를 대상으로 한 파라제스트란과 리보시클리브 병용요법에 관한 제Ib/II상 임상시험의 최신 데이터를 발표했습니다. 이러한 연구 결과는 2025년 유럽임상종양학회(ESMO) 연례 총회의 포스터 세션에서 발표되었습니다.

2025년 10월, 오레마 파마슈티컬스는 2025년 샌안토니오 유방암 심포지엄(SABCS 2025)에서 진행 중인 제3상 OPERA-02 임상시험에 관한 포스터를 발표했다고 밝혔습니다. 이 임상시험에서는 ER 양성/HER2 음성 진행성 또는 전이성 유방암의 1차 치료에서 파라제스트란과 리보시클리브의 병용요법을 평가하고 있습니다.

HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암 시장의 전망

지난 10년 동안 내분비 요법은 내장 전이가 동반된 사례를 포함하여, HR 양성 및 HER2 음성 전이성 유방암에 대한 1차 치료법으로 자리매김해 왔습니다. 항에스트로겐제 및 아로마타제 억제제(AI)를 포함하는 이 치료법은 우수한 치료 프로파일 덕분에 HR 양성 및 HER2 음성 전이성 유방암에 대한 주요 전신 치료법으로 자리매김하고 있습니다. 현재 3가지 종류의 AI를 이용할 수 있습니다. 아나스트로졸과 레트로졸은 비스테로이드계 아로마타제 억제제이며, 엑세메스탄은 스테로이드계 아로마타제 억제제입니다. 화학요법이나 내분비요법 단독의 적응 기준을 충족하지 않는 환자의 경우, 내분비요법에 CDK 4/6 억제제나 mTOR 억제제 등의 분자 표적 치료제를 병용하는 방법이 있습니다.

MONALEESA 2, 3, 7(리보시크리브), PALOMA-2(팔보시클리브), MONARCH-3(아베마시클리브)와 같이, 1차 치료에서 내분비 요법제에 3종의 승인된 CDK4/6 억제제(CDK4/6i)를 추가한 결과, 무재발 생존 기간(PFS)의 중앙값이 유의하게 연장되었습니다. CDK4 및 6 억제제는 일본에서 비교적 새로운 약물로, 그중 팔보시크리브와 아베마시크리브 두 가지 약제가 임상 사용 승인을 받았습니다. 2022년 8월, 아스트라제네카와 다이이치 제약의 'ENHERTU'가 광범위한 HER2 저발현 유방암에 대해 신속 승인을 받았습니다. ENHERTU는 기존에 HR 양성/HER2 음성 유방암과 연관되어 있던 새로운 하위 그룹인, HER2 저발현 전이성 또는 절제 불가능한 유방암의 치료를 목적으로 한 최초의 치료제로 등장했습니다. 그 후, 2023년 2월 FDA는 이전에 치료를 받은 HR 양성·HER2 음성 유방암에 대해 TRODELVY를 승인했습니다.

CDK4/6 억제제의 적응증을 HR 양성·HER2 음성 진행성 유방암 이외의 분야로 확대할 가능성이 유망합니다. CDK4/6 억제제와 내분비 요법의 병용 치료에 내성을 보인 환자의 경우, 풀베스트란트 단독 요법의 효과가 기대에 미치지 못하기 때문에 대부분의 경우 기존의 화학요법으로 전환하고 있습니다. 최근 동향을 보면, CDK4/6 억제제 치료 후의 치료 전략에 있어 항체약물접합체(ADC)나 경구용 선택적 에스트로겐 수용체 분해제(SERD)의 도입이 효과적일 가능성이 시사되고 있습니다.

개발 중인 파이프라인에는 HR+/HER2-를 대상으로 한 잠재적 치료제가 넘쳐나지만, HER2 저발현군을 대상으로 한 치료법의 평가에 초점을 맞추고 있는 것은 거의 없습니다. HR/HER2-를 대상으로 개발 중인 파이프라인에는 후기 단계(제3상, 제2/3상 및 제2상)에 있는 몇 가지 유망한 약물이 포함되어 있으며, 그 중에는 기레데스트란, 카미제스트란(AZD9833), LY3484356(이무르네스트란), 라소폭시펜, ARV-471, 카피바셀티브, 이나볼리시브, KEYTRUDA(펨브롤리주맙), 에노보사움, OP1250, 삼라시크리브, 레로시크리브, SFX-01, 엔독시펜 등이 포함되어 있으나, HER2 Low에는 다포타맙-델크스테칸, DB1303, 에프틸라기모드 알파 등이 포함되며, 이들은 다양한 조합으로 투여되고 있습니다. 본 조사의 초점은 주로 새로운 경구용 SERD에 맞춰져 있습니다. 전반적으로, 끊임없이 진화하는 이러한 치료 환경은 더욱 맞춤형이며 효과적인 치료의 가능성을 내포하고 있으며, 이러한 유형의 유방암을 앓고 있는 환자들에게 새로운 희망을 안겨주고 있습니다.

연구의 진전에 따라 ER 양성·HER2 음성 유방암의 치료 관리가 크게 개선되었지만, 이 분야에는 여전히 상당한 개선의 여지가 남아 있습니다. 변이 등의 요인을 더 깊이 이해하고, 바이오마커를 발견하며, 더 우수한 치료법을 개발하기 위해서는 지속적인 연구 노력이 필수적입니다.

  • 주요 7개국에서 HR 양성/HER2 음성 유방암 시장 규모는 미국이 가장 큰 비중을 차지하고 있으며, 2025년에는 약 100억 달러에 달할 것으로 예상되며, 2036년까지 높은 연평균 성장률(CAGR)을 기록하며 성장할 것으로 전망됩니다.
  • 2025년 모든 치료법 중에서 IBRANCE가 39억 달러의 매출을 기록하며 가장 큰 시장 규모를 차지했습니다. 2036년까지 VERZENIO가 가장 높은 시장 점유율을 차지할 것으로 예상되며, 그 뒤를 IBRANCE가 이을 것으로 전망됩니다.

CDK4/6 억제제 : CDK4/6 억제제는 G1기 세포 주기의 진행을 억제하며, HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암 치료에 널리 사용되고 있습니다. 승인된 약물인 팔보시크리브, 리보시크리브, 아베마시크리브는 표준 병용요법으로 사용되고 있으며, mTOR 억제제, SERD 및 기타 약물군보다 더 높은 매출을 올리고 있습니다.

SERD : SERD는 내분비 민감성 종양, 특히 ESR1 변이를 가진 종양에서 더 큰 효능을 보이고 있습니다. 2023년 1월, FDA는 내분비 요법 병력이 있는 ER 양성/HER2 음성, ESR1 변이를 가진 진행성 유방암에 대해 엘라세스트란(ORSERDU)을 승인했습니다. 이 약은 다른 약제와 비교하여 우수한 안전성 프로파일을 보이고 있습니다. 기레데스트란 등 일부 SERD에서는 결과에 편차가 나타나고 있지만, 현재 진행 중인 제3상 임상시험에서는 병용요법이 평가되고 있습니다.

PI3K 및 AKT 억제제 : HR 양성/HER2 음성 유방암의 약 40%는 PIK3CA 돌연변이를 가지고 있으며, 이로 인해 종양 증식에 관여하는 PI3K/AKT 경로의 활성화가 유발됩니다. 알페리시브는 풀베스트란트와의 병용요법을 통해 SOLAR-1 임상시험 결과를 바탕으로, PIK3CA 변이를 가진 진행성 유방암 환자에 대해 FDA의 승인을 받았습니다.

자주 묻는 질문

  • HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암 시장 규모는 어떻게 예측되나요?
  • HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암의 주요 치료법은 무엇인가요?
  • HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암의 유병률은 어떻게 되나요?
  • HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암의 치료에 대한 최근 동향은 무엇인가요?
  • HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암의 치료 알고리즘은 어떻게 구성되나요?
  • HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암의 주요 치료제는 무엇인가요?

목차

제1장 주요 인사이트

제2장 소개

제3장 HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암 : 주요 요약

제4장 주요 사건

제5장 역학 및 시장 예측 조사 방법

제6장 HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암 : 시장 개요

제7장 HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암 : 질환 배경과 개요

제8장 HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암 : 치료

제9장 HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암 : 역학 및 환자 인구

제10장 HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암 : 환자 경과

제11장 일반의약품

제12장 새로운 치료법

제13장 HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암 : 주요 7개국 해석

제14장 HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암 : SWOT 분석

제15장 HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암 : KOL의 견해

제16장 HR 양성/HER2 음성 전이성 유방암 : 시장 진입 및 상환

제17장 부록

제18장 DelveInsight의 서비스 내용

제19장 면책사항

제20장 DelveInsight 소개

KSM 26.07.20

Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Insights and Trends

  • For the past decade, endocrine therapy has been the standard therapy for HR+/HER2- breast cancer in the early and advanced stages. FASLODEX (fulvestrant) is one of the most efficient and well-tolerated medications available in single-agent endocrine therapy formulations. FASLODEX's poor bioavailability and inconvenient IV formulations create an opportunity for oral next-generation selective estrogen receptor degraders (SERDs) to make a place in both first and second-line settings.
  • Among the approved classes, CDK4/6 inhibitors (palbociclib, ribociclib, and abemaciclib) have attracted the most attention in first and second-line settings by providing an extended period of progression-free survival (PFS).
  • IBRANCE (palbociclib) is the leading molecule in the first line of therapy, as it also has the first-mover advantage in the first and second lines, along with the highest revenue in terms of sales.
  • The NCCN Clinical Practice Guidelines in Oncology for breast cancer recommend KISQALI (ribociclib) as the only Category 1 preferred CDK4/6 inhibitor for first-line treatment of patients with HR+/HER2- MBC when combined with an aromatase inhibitor (AIs).
  • ORSERDU is the first and only therapy specifically indicated for the treatment of ER+, HER2- tumors that harbor ESR1 mutations. This approval represents the first innovation in endocrine therapy in nearly two decades.
  • Recent developments suggest that the post-CDK4/6 inhibitor treatment landscape could benefit from adopting Antibody-Drug Conjugates (ADCs) and oral SERDs that can muscle their way into this treatment space for this patient pool. The other class of therapies includes AKT inhibitors, mTOR inhibitors, SERMS, PI3K inhibitors, PARP inhibitors, and TROP-2 targeting ADCs.
  • The pipeline for HR+/HER2- therapies is robust, with several late-stage candidates (Phase III, II/III, and II) expected to address unmet needs and support market growth. However, many next-generation SERDs may face strong competition from established CDK4/6 inhibitors, potentially limiting their uptake and slowing growth.

Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Market size and Forecast in the 7MM

  • 2025 Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Market Size: ~USD 14,000 million
  • Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Growth Rate (2026-2036): ~8% CAGR

DelveInsight's 'Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer - Market Insights, Epidemiology and Market Forecast - 2036' report delivers an in-depth understanding of the metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer, historical and forecasted epidemiology, as well as the metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer market trends in the United States, EU4 (Germany, Spain, Italy, and France) and the United Kingdom, and Japan.

The metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer market report delivers a comprehensive analysis of the current treatment landscape, including standards of care, clinical practices, and evolving therapeutic algorithms. It evaluates metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer patient burden trends, revenue & market share dynamics, peak patient share & therapy uptake analysis, and provides an in-depth market size assessment, and growth rate projections (Historical & Forecast 2022-2036) across global regions. The report highlights key unmet medical needs in metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer and maps the competitive and clinical landscape to uncover high-value opportunities, providing a clear outlook on future market growth potential.

Key Factors Driving the Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Market

Rising prevalence of HR+/HER2- breast cancer

HR+/HER2- is the most common breast cancer subtype, representing a substantial share of cases, with a significant proportion progressing to metastatic disease and requiring prolonged treatment.

Strong reliance on endocrine and targeted therapies

The widespread use of endocrine therapies in combination with targeted agents such as CDK4/6 inhibitors continues to drive market growth by improving PFS and becoming the standard of care in first-line settings.

Expansion of targeted treatment options

The introduction of newer agents targeting pathways such as PI3K/AKT/mTOR and next-generation SERDs is broadening treatment choices and supporting continued market expansion.

Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Understanding and Treatment Algorithm

Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Overview and Diagnosis

HR+/HER2- breast cancer is the most common subtype of breast cancer, characterized by cancer cells with hormone receptors for estrogen and progesterone but lacking the overexpression of HER2. This subtype generally has a better prognosis and is often treated with hormone therapy to block hormone-driven growth. Surgery and radiation may be used to remove or target tumors, while chemotherapy and targeted therapies like CDK4/6 inhibitors may be considered for more advanced cases. Early detection is crucial, and support from healthcare providers and loved ones is vital for coping with the diagnosis and treatment of HR+/HER2- breast cancer. A biopsy confirms the diagnosis and determines the cancer's characteristics. Staging tests assess the cancer's extent, guiding a multidisciplinary team in devising a personalized treatment plan, often involving hormone therapy, surgery, radiation, and possibly chemotherapy or targeted therapies. Emotional support plays a crucial role in managing the emotional toll of the diagnosis, and follow-up care ensures ongoing monitoring and adjustment of treatment as needed, fostering hope for successful recovery and survivorship.

Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Treatment

Treatment of HR+/HER2- breast cancer generally follows a multimodal strategy. Hormone therapy remains the backbone, targeting estrogen-driven tumor growth. Surgery (lumpectomy or mastectomy) is often used to remove the tumor, followed by radiation to eliminate residual disease. In advanced settings, chemotherapy or targeted therapies such as CDK4/6 inhibitors may be added. Treatment decisions are guided by disease stage, receptor profile, and patient preferences, with ongoing monitoring to optimize outcomes. Several classes of endocrine therapies are available, including selective estrogen receptor modulators (SERMs), aromatase inhibitors (AIs), and selective estrogen receptor degraders (SERDs). Current research is increasingly focused on combining these therapies with targeted agents, particularly those inhibiting the PI3K/AKT/mTOR and CDK4/6 pathways.

Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Unmet Needs

The section "unmet needs of metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer" outlines the critical gaps between the current state of patient care, diagnosis, and the ideal & effective management of the disease. It highlights the obstacles experienced by patients, clinicians, and researchers and identifies potential solutions for future progress.

1. Endocrine resistance and disease progression

2. Limited durability of treatment response

3. Lack of clear treatment sequencing strategies

4. Limited options post-CDK4/6 inhibitor progression and others.....

Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Epidemiology

Key Findings from Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Epidemiological Analysis and Forecast

  • According to the estimates, the total incident population of HR+/HER2- breast cancer in the 7MM was nearly 486,000 cases in 2025. The cases in the 7MM are expected to increase during the forecast period, i.e., 2026-2036.
  • The metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer cases were highest in the United States, accounting for ~57,000 cases in 2025.
  • According to the estimates, most cases of HR+/HER2- breast cancer occur in people aged between 60 and 79 years in the United States, accounting for ~48% of cases in 2025.
  • Among EU4 and the UK, Germany had the maximum total incident cases of HR+/HER2- breast cancer, with ~50,500 cases in 2025, while Spain accounted for the least number of incident cases.

Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Drug & Competitive Landscape

The metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer drug chapter provides a detailed, market-focused review of approved therapies and the emerging pipeline across Phase I-III clinical trials. It covers the mechanism of action, clinical trial data, regulatory approvals, patents, collaborations, strategic partnerships, upcoming key catalysts for each therapy, along with their advantages, limitations, and recent developments. This section offers critical insights into the metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer treatment landscape, supporting market assessment, competitive analysis, and growth forecasting for the metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer market.

Approved Therapies for Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer

KISQALI (ribociclib): Novartis

KISQALI is a kinase inhibitor indicated for the treatment of adult patients with HR+, HER2- advanced or metastatic cancer in combination with:

  • An aromatase inhibitor as initial endocrine-based therapy
  • Fulvestrant as initial endocrine-based therapy or following disease progression on endocrine therapy in postmenopausal women or men.

In October 2025, Novartis announced results from the five-year analysis of the pivotal Phase III NATALEE trial of KISQALI that demonstrated a sustained benefit at a median of two years after a three-year treatment with KISQALI. Results showed a 28.4% reduction in risk of recurrence in the broadest population of patients with high-risk stage II and III HR+/HER2- early breast cancer (EBC) treated with KISQALI plus endocrine therapy compared to endocrine therapy alone.

VERZENIO (abemaciclib): Eli Lilly

VERZENIO is a targeted treatment known as a CDK4/6 inhibitor. VERZENIO is a non-chemotherapy oral tablet. It works inside the cell to block CDK4/6 activity and help stop the growth of cancer cells so that they may eventually die (based on preclinical studies). The National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) recommends consideration of 2 years of VERZENIO added to endocrine therapy as a Category 1 treatment option in the adjuvant setting.

In February 2018, the US FDA approved VERZENIO in combination with an aromatase inhibitor as initial endocrine-based therapy for the treatment of postmenopausal women with HR+, HER2- advanced or metastatic breast cancer.

Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Pipeline Analysis

ARV-471 (vepdegestrant): Arvinas

Vepdegestrant is an investigational, oral PROTAC estrogen receptor protein degrader for the treatment of patients with ER+/HER2- locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer. Arvinas and Pfizer are collaborating to develop and commercialize vepdegestrant. This program is currently in Phase III clinical studies. The US FDA is reviewing the filed New Drug Application (NDA) for vepdegestrant. The FDA has assigned a Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) action date of June 5, 2026. Vepdegestrant has also been granted Fast Track designation by the FDA.

In November 2025, Arvinas announced that multiple abstracts on vepdegestrant have been accepted for presentation at the upcoming San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium (SABCS).

In September 2025, Arvinas and Pfizer announced their plan to jointly select a third party for the commercialization and potential further development of vepdegestrant.

OP1250 (palazestrant): Olema Pharmaceuticals

OP-1250 is a small molecule complete estrogen receptor antagonist (CERAN). OP-1250 competes with the endogenous activating estrogenic ligand 17-beta estradiol for binding in the ligand-binding pocket. OP-1250 blocks estrogen-driven transcriptional activity, inhibits estrogen-driven breast cancer cell growth, and induces degradation of the estrogen receptor.

In October 2025, Olema Pharmaceuticals announced updated data from the Phase Ib/II study of palazestrant in combination with ribociclib in patients with ER+/HER2- advanced or metastatic breast cancer. These findings were presented in a poster session at the European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO) Congress 2025.

In October 2025, Olema Pharmaceuticals announced that they presented a trial-in-progress poster for the Phase III OPERA-02 trial at the 2025 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium (SABCS 2025). The trial is evaluating palazestrant in combination with ribociclib in frontline ER+/HER2- advanced or metastatic breast cancer.

Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Key Players, Market Leaders and Emerging Companies

  • Roche
  • AstraZeneca / Daiichi Sankyo
  • Eli Lilly
  • Sermonix Pharmaceuticals
  • Veru Pharma
  • Arvinas
  • Olema Pharmaceuticals
  • Celcuity
  • DualityBio/ BioNtech
  • Merck
  • Immutep
  • Atossa Therapeutics
  • Velos Bio/ Merck
  • Evgen Pharma, and others

Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Drug Updates

  • In October 2025, Novartis announced results from the five-year analysis of the pivotal Phase III NATALEE trial of KISQALI (ribociclib) that demonstrated a sustained benefit at a median of two years after a three-year treatment with KISQALI.
  • In November 2025, Arvinas announced that multiple abstracts on vepdegestrant have been accepted for presentation at the upcoming San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium (SABCS).
  • In September 2025, Arvinas and Pfizer announced their plan to jointly select a third party for the commercialization and potential further development of vepdegestrant.
  • In October 2025, Olema Pharmaceuticals announced that they presented a trial-in-progress poster for the Phase III OPERA-02 trial at the 2025 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium (SABCS 2025). The trial is evaluating palazestrant in combination with ribociclib in frontline ER+/HER2- advanced or metastatic breast cancer.

Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Market Outlook

For the past decade, endocrine therapy has been the preferred treatment for HR-positive and HER2- metastatic breast cancer, including cases with visceral involvement. This therapy, encompassing antiestrogens and aromatase inhibitors (AIs), remains the primary systemic approach for HR+/HER2- metastatic breast cancer due to its favorable treatment profile. Currently, there are three AIs available: anastrozole and letrozole are nonsteroidal AIs, while exemestane is a steroidal AI. Combining endocrine therapy with targeted agents, such as CDK 4/6 inhibitors or mTOR inhibitors, is an option for patients who do not meet the criteria for chemotherapy or sole endocrine treatment.

The addition of the three registered CDK4/6 inhibitors (CDK4/6i) to an endocrine drug in the first line of treatment, like in MONALEESA 2, 3, and 7 (ribociclib), PALOMA-2 (palbociclib), and MONARCH-3 (abemaciclib), showed a significant increase in the median progression-free survival (PFS). CDK4 and 6 inhibitors are relatively new drugs in Japan, and two of them, palbociclib and abemaciclib, have received regulatory approval for clinical use. In August 2022, AstraZeneca and Daiichi's ENHERTU received expedited approval for widespread HER2-low breast cancer. ENHERTU has emerged as the first therapeutic intended for treating HER2-low, metastatic, or unresectable breast cancer, a newly created subgroup previously associated with HR+/HER2- breast cancer. Later, the FDA authorized TRODELVY in February 2023 for previously treated HR-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer.

There is promising potential for expanding CDK4/6 inhibitor applications beyond HR+, HER2- advanced breast cancer. Patients who develop resistance to combined CDK4/6 inhibitor and endocrine treatments often switch to conventional chemotherapy due to disappointing outcomes with single-agent fulvestrant. Recent developments suggest that the post-CDK4/6 inhibitor treatment landscape could benefit from adopting Antibody-Drug Conjugates (ADCs) and oral selective estrogen receptor degraders (SERDs).

The emerging pipeline is crowded by HR+/HER2- potential therapies, whereas few of them have shifted their focus to evaluate the therapies targeting the HER2 Low segment. The emerging pipeline for HR/HER2- includes several potential drugs in late-stage (Phase III, II/III, and II) that include Giredestrant, Camizestrant (AZD9833), LY3484356 (Imlunestrant), Lasofoxifene, ARV-471, Capivasertib, Inavolisib, KEYTRUDA (pembrolizumab), Enobosarm, OP1250, Samuraciclib, Lerociclib, SFX-01, Endoxifen, whereas HER2 Low includes Datopotamab deruxtecan, DB1303, Eftilagimod alpha, being administered in various combinations. The focus of this research is mostly on new oral SERDs. Overall, the evolving landscape holds the potential for more tailored and effective treatments, providing renewed hope for patients facing this form of breast cancer.

While research advances have significantly improved the management of ER+, HER2- breast cancer, there remains substantial room for enhancement in this field. Dedicated research efforts are necessary to better comprehend factors such as mutations, the discovery of biomarkers, and the development of improved therapeutic approaches.

  • The United States accounted for the largest market size of HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer in the 7MM, at approximately USD 10,000 million in 2025, and is expected to grow at a significant CAGR through 2036.
  • Among all the therapies in 2025, IBRANCE had the largest market size with a revenue of USD 3,900 million. By 2036, VERZENIO is expected to capture the largest market share, followed by IBRANCE.

Drug Class/Insights into Leading Emerging and Marketed Therapies in Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer (2022-2036 Forecast)

The HR+/HER2- MBC treatment landscape comprises CDK4/6 inhibitors, SERD and SERM, and PIK3 and AKT inhibitors, each designed to target distinct mechanisms involved in tumor growth, HER2 signaling, and treatment resistance.

CDK4/6 inhibitors: CDK4/6 inhibitors block cell cycle progression at the G1 phase and are widely used in HR+/HER2- metastatic breast cancer. Approved agents palbociclib, ribociclib, and abemaciclib are standard combination therapies and have generated higher revenues than mTOR inhibitors, SERDs, and other classes.

SERDs: SERDs show greater benefit in endocrine-sensitive tumors, particularly those with ESR1 mutations. In January 2023, the FDA approved elacestrant (ORSERDU) for ER+/HER2-, ESR1-mutated advanced breast cancer after prior endocrine therapy. It has demonstrated a favorable safety profile compared to other agents. While some SERDs like giredestrant have shown mixed results, ongoing Phase III trials are evaluating combination strategies.

PI3K and AKT inhibitors: Around 40% of HR+/HER2- breast cancers harbor PIK3CA mutations, leading to activation of the PI3K/AKT pathway involved in tumor growth. Alpelisib, combined with fulvestrant, is FDA-approved for patients with PIK3CA-mutated advanced disease based on the SOLAR-1 trial.

Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Drug Uptake

This section focuses on the uptake rate of potential drugs expected to be launched in the market during the forecast period (2026-2036). The analysis covers the HR+/HER2- MBC drug's uptake, performance at peak, factors affecting performance during prime years of growth, patient uptake by therapy, and anticipated sales generated by each drug.

Among the first-line therapies, Camizestrant + CDK4/6 Inhibitor and Lasofoxifene + abemaciclib are expected to have a medium-fast uptake.

Detailed insights of emerging therapies' drug uptake is included in the report

Market Access and Reimbursement of Approved Therapies in Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer

The report further provides detailed insights on the country-wise accessibility and reimbursement scenarios, cost-effectiveness scenario of approved therapies, programs making accessibility easier and out-of-pocket costs more affordable, insights on patients insured under federal or state government prescription drug programs, etc.

The United States

  • The Patient Assistance Now Oncology (PANO) program assists with accessing Novartis medicine(s), from insurance verification to financial assistance. The Free Trial and Access Program can help patients receive a free PIQRAY supply for a US FDA-approved indication. Patients may be eligible for immediate copay savings with a PIQRAY copay card; eligible patients with private insurance may pay USD 0 per month, and Novartis will pay the remaining copay, up to USD 15,000 per calendar year, per product. The program is unavailable for patients enrolled in Medicare, Medicaid, or any other federal or state healthcare program.
  • Novartis is committed to helping patients who have been prescribed KISQALI. For eligible patients, there is more than one way to save on KISQALI (ribociclib). KISQALI Care offers programs such as one free treatment cycle of KISQALI and/or FEMARA, KISQALI 5-Treatment Cycle Access Program, and KISQALI and/or FEMARA USD 0 copay offer. Patients may be eligible for immediate copay savings on their next prescription of KISQALI tablets, FEMARA (letrozole) tablets, the KISQALI FEMARA (letrozole) Copack tablets, and/or generic letrozole. Eligible patients with private insurance may pay USD 0 per month. Novartis will pay the remaining copay, up to USD 15,000 per calendar year, per product. This offer is only available to patients with private insurance. The program is unavailable for patients enrolled in Medicare, Medicaid, or any other federal or state healthcare program. Use of this offer for FEMARA (or generic letrozole) does not require a KISQALI prescription.

Reimbursement is a crucial factor that affects the drug's access to the market. Often, the decision to reimburse comes down to the price of the drug relative to the benefit it produces in treated patients. To reduce the healthcare burden of these high-cost therapies, many payment models are being considered by payers and other industry insiders.

NOTE: Further Details are provided in the final report....

Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer therapies Price Scenario & Trends

Pricing and analogue assessment of metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer therapies highlights evolving price dynamics structures. This section summarizes the cost of approved treatments, the closest and most appropriate analogue selection for emerging therapies, and understanding of how pricing influences market access, adherence, and long-term uptake.

  • Pricing of Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Approved Drugs

ORSERDU is administered orally, 345 mg, taken orally with food once daily. The estimated annual treatment cost is approximately USD 183,773.

Industry Experts and Physician Views for Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer

To keep up with metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer market trends, we take Key Opinion Leaders (KOLs) and Subject Matter Experts (SMEs) opinions working in the domain through primary research to fill the data gaps and validate our secondary research. Industry Experts were contacted for insights on the metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer emerging therapies, evolving treatment landscape, patient adherence to conventional therapies, therapy switching trends, drug adoption and uptake, accessibility challenges, and epidemiology and real-world prescription patterns in metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer, including MD, PhD, Instructor, Postdoctoral Researcher, Professor, Researcher, and others.

DelveInsight's analysts connected with 10+ KOLs to gather insights at the country level. Centers such as the National Breast Cancer Foundation (NBCF), University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, and Iwate Medical University, etc. were contacted. Their opinion helps understand and validate current and emerging metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer therapies, highlight unmet medical needs, provide epidemiological context, and support strategic decisions for market access, therapy adoption, and pipeline prioritization in metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer.

Qualitative Analysis: SWOT and Conjoint Analysis

We perform qualitative and market Intelligence analysis using various approaches, such as SWOT analysis and conjoint analysis.

In the SWOT analysis of metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer, strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats in terms of disease diagnosis, patient awareness, patient burden, competitive landscape, cost-effectiveness, and geographical accessibility of therapies are provided.

Conjoint analysis analyzes emerging therapies based on relevant attributes such as safety, efficacy, frequency of administration, route of administration, and order of entry. Scoring is given based on these parameters to analyze the effectiveness of therapy. The team of analysts analyzes promising emerging therapies based on relevant attributes such as safety, efficacy, frequency of administration, route of administration, and order of entry. In efficacy, the trial's primary and secondary outcome measures are evaluated, whereas the therapies' safety is evaluated, wherein the acceptability, tolerability, and adverse events are mainly observed.

In addition, the scoring is also based on the route of administration, order of entry, probability of success, and the addressable patient pool for each therapy. According to these parameters, the final weightage score and the ranking of the emerging therapies are decided.

Scope of the Report:

  • The report covers a segment of key events, an executive summary, a descriptive overview of metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer, explaining its causes, signs and symptoms, pathogenesis, and currently available treatments.
  • Comprehensive insight has been provided into the epidemiology segments and forecasts, the future growth potential of the diagnosis rate, and disease progression along treatment guidelines.
  • Additionally, an all-inclusive account of both the current and emerging treatments, along with the elaborative profiles of late-stage and prominent therapies, will have an impact on the current treatment landscape.
  • A detailed review of the metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer market, historical and forecasted market size, and market share by therapies, detailed assumptions, and rationale behind our approach is included in the report, covering the 7MM drug outreach.
  • The report provides an edge while developing business strategies by understanding trends through SWOT analysis and expert insights/KOL views, patient journey, and treatment preferences that help in shaping and driving the 7MM metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer market.

Report Insights

  • Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Patient Population Forecast
  • Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Market Opportunity (Current and Forecasted)
  • Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Pipeline Analysis
  • Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Market Size and Trends
  • Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Market Opportunity (Current and Forecasted)

Report Key Strengths

  • Epidemiology-based (Epi-based) Bottom-up Forecasting
  • Artificial Intelligence (AI)-enabled Market Research Report
  • 11-year forecast
  • Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Market Outlook (North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific)
  • Patient Burden Trends (by geography)
  • Metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer Treatment Addressable Market (TAM)
  • Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Competitive Landscape
  • Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Major Companies Insights
  • Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Price Trends and Analogue Assessment
  • Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Therapies and Drug Adoption/Uptake
  • Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Therapies Peak Patient Share Analysis

Report Assessment

  • Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Current Treatment Practices
  • Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Unmet Needs
  • Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Clinical Development Analysis
  • Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Emerging Drugs Product Profiles
  • Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Market Attractiveness
  • Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Qualitative Analysis (SWOT and Conjoint Analysis)

FAQs:

Market Insights

  • What was the metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer market size, the market size by therapies, market share (%) distribution in 2025, and what would it look like by 2036? What are the contributing factors for this growth?
  • What are the anticipated pricing variations among different geographies for the emerging therapies in the future?
  • What can be the future treatment paradigm of metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer?
  • What are the disease risks, burdens, and unmet needs of metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer? What will be the growth opportunities across the 7MM concerning the patient population with metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer?
  • Who is the major future competitor in the market, and how will the competitors affect their market share?
  • What are the current options for the treatment of metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer? What are the current guidelines for treating metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer in the US, Europe, and Japan?

Reasons to Buy:

  • The report will help in developing business strategies by understanding the latest trends and changing treatment dynamics driving the metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer market.
  • Bottom up forecasting builds from the affected population to product forecasts, delivering a robust, data driven approach ideal for new therapies and novel classes.
  • Insights on patient burden/disease incidence, evolution in diagnosis, and factors contributing to the change in the epidemiology of the disease during the forecast years.
  • Understand the existing market opportunities in varying geographies and the growth potential over the coming years.
  • Identifying strong upcoming players in the market will help devise strategies to help get ahead of competitors.
  • Detailed analysis and ranking of class-wise potential current and emerging therapies under the conjoint analysis section to provide visibility around leading classes.
  • To understand KOLs' perspectives on the accessibility, acceptability, and compliance-related challenges of existing treatment to overcome barriers in the future.
  • Detailed insights into the unmet needs of the existing market so that the upcoming players can strengthen their development and launch strategy.
  • This Artificial Intelligence (AI) enabled report summarize and simplify complex datasets within the report into clear, actionable insights for stakeholders, investors, and healthcare providers, enabling faster, data driven decisions.

Table of Contents

1. Key Insights

2. Report Introduction

3. Executive Summary of Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer

4. Key Events

  • 4.1. Upcoming Key Catalysts
  • 4.2. Key Conferences and Meetings
  • 4.3. Key Transactions and Collaborations
  • 4.4. News Flow

5. Epidemiology and Market Forecast Methodology

6. Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Market Overview at a Glance

  • 6.1. Emerging Landscape Analysis in 7MM (by Phase)
  • 6.2. Market Size of Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer by Line of Therapies in 7MM (2025)
  • 6.3. Market Size of Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer by Line of Therapies in 7MM (2036)

7. Disease Background and Overview of Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer

  • 7.1. Introduction
  • 7.2. Types of Breast Cancer
    • 7.2.1. Subtypes of Breast Cancer
    • 7.2.2. Molecular Subtypes of Breast Cancer
  • 7.3. Estrogen Receptor (ER)-Positive Breast Cancer
    • 7.3.1. Estrogen Receptor
    • 7.3.2. Estrogen Receptor 1 Mutations
  • 7.4. Metabolic Pathway of Estrogen Receptor (ER)-Positive Breast Cancer
    • 7.4.1. Role of Estrogen Receptor Alpha (ERa) in Regulating Breast Cancer Metabolism
  • 7.5. Symptoms of HR-Positive Breast Cancer
  • 7.6. Risk Factors of Estrogen Receptor (ER)-Positive Breast Cancer
  • 7.7. Characterization of HER2-low Breast Cancers
    • 7.7.1. Biology of HER2-low Breast Cancer
  • 7.8. Diagnosis of Estrogen Receptor (ER)-Positive Breast Cancer
  • 7.9. Diagnostic Guidelines
    • 7.9.1. Estrogen and Progesterone Receptor Testing in Breast Cancer: ASCO/CAP Guideline Update 2020
    • 7.9.2. Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2 Testing in Breast Cancer: American Society of Clinical Oncology/College of American Pathologists Clinical Practice Guideline Focused Update

8. Treatment of Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer

  • 8.1. Treatment Algorithm of Estrogen Receptor (ER)-Positive Breast Cancer
  • 8.2. Treatment Guidelines
    • 8.2.1. ASCO: American Society of Clinical Oncology
    • 8.2.2. NCCN Guidelines
    • 8.2.3. Pan-Asian Adapted ESMO Clinical Practice Guidelines for the Diagnosis, Staging, and Treatment of Patients With Metastatic Breast Cancer
    • 8.2.4. The Japanese Breast Cancer Society Clinical Practice Guidelines for Systemic Treatment of Breast Cancer

9. Epidemiology and Patient Population of Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer

  • 9.1. Key Findings
  • 9.2. Assumptions and Rationale
  • 9.3. Total Incident Cases of Breast Cancer in the 7MM
  • 9.4. Total Incident Cases of HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer in the 7MM
  • 9.5. The United States
    • 9.5.1. Total Incident Cases of Breast Cancer in the United States
    • 9.5.2. Incidence of HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer in the United States
    • 9.5.3. Incidence of HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Cases by Menopausal Status in the United States
    • 9.5.4. Stage-specific Incidence of HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer in the United States
    • 9.5.5. Age-specific Incidence of HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer in the United States
    • 9.5.6. Line-wise Metastatic Cases of HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer in the United States
  • 9.6. EU4 and the UK
    • 9.6.1. Total Incidence of Breast Cancer in EU4 and the UK
    • 9.6.2. Incidence of HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer in EU4 and the UK
    • 9.6.3. Incidence of HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Cases by Menopausal Status in EU4 and the UK
    • 9.6.4. Stage-specific Incidence of HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer in EU4 and the UK
    • 9.6.5. Age-specific Incidence of HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer in EU4 and the UK
    • 9.6.6. Line-wise Metastatic Cases of HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer in EU4 and the UK
  • 9.7. Japan
    • 9.7.1. Total Incidence of Breast Cancer in Japan
    • 9.7.2. Incidence of HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer in Japan
    • 9.7.3. Incidence of HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer Cases by Menopausal Status in Japan
    • 9.7.4. Stage-specific Incidence of HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer in Japan
    • 9.7.5. Age-specific Incidence of HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer in Japan
    • 9.7.6. Line-wise Metastatic Cases of HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer in Japan

10. Patient Journey of Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer

11. Marketed Drugs

  • 11.1. Marketed Competitive Landscape of Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer
  • 11.2. KISQALI (ribociclib; LEE011): Novartis
    • 11.2.1. Product Description
    • 11.2.2. Regulatory Milestones
    • 11.2.3. Other Developmental Activity
    • 11.2.4. Clinical Development
    • 11.2.5. Safety and Efficacy
    • 11.2.6. Product Profile
  • 11.3. PIQRAY (alpelisib; BYL719): Novartis
    • 11.3.1. Product Description
    • 11.3.2. Regulatory Milestones
    • 11.3.3. Other Developmental Activities
    • 11.3.4. Clinical Development
    • 11.3.5. Safety and Efficacy
    • 11.3.6. Product Profile
  • 11.4. VERZENIO (abemaciclib): Eli Lilly
    • 11.4.1. Product Description
    • 11.4.2. Regulatory Milestones
    • 11.4.3. Other Development Activities
    • 11.4.4. Clinical Development
    • 11.4.5. Safety and Efficacy
    • 11.4.6. Product Profile
  • 11.5. IBRANCE (palbociclib): Pfizer
    • 11.5.1. Product Description
    • 11.5.2. Regulatory Milestones
    • 11.5.3. Other Development Activities
    • 11.5.4. Clinical Development
    • 11.5.5. Safety and Efficacy
    • 11.5.6. Product Profile
  • 11.6. LYNPARZA (olaparib): AstraZeneca
    • 11.6.1. Product Description
    • 11.6.2. Regulatory Milestones
    • 11.6.3. Other Developmental Activities
    • 11.6.4. Clinical Development
    • 11.6.5. Safety and efficacy
    • 11.6.6. Product Profile
  • 11.7. TRODELVY (sacitzumab govitecan-hziy): Gilead Sciences
    • 11.7.1. Product Description
    • 11.7.2. Regulatory Milestones
    • 11.7.3. Clinical Development
    • 11.7.4. Safety and Efficacy
    • 11.7.5. Product Profile
  • 11.8. ORSERDU (elacestrant): Stemline Therapeutics (Menarini Group)
    • 11.8.1. Product Description
    • 11.8.2. Regulatory Milestones
    • 11.8.3. Other Developmental Activities
    • 11.8.4. Clinical Development
    • 11.8.5. Safety and Efficacy
    • 11.8.6. Product Profile
  • 11.9. ENHERTU (fam-trastuzumab deruxtecan-nxki): Daiichi Sankyo/AstraZeneca
    • 11.9.1. Product Description
    • 11.9.2. Regulatory Milestones
    • 11.9.3. Other Developmental Activities
    • 11.9.4. Clinical Development
    • 11.9.5. Safety and Efficacy
    • 11.9.6. Product Profile
  • 11.10. AFINITOR (everolimus): Novartis
    • 11.10.1. Product Description
    • 11.10.2. Regulatory Milestones
    • 11.10.3. Other Development Activities
    • 11.10.4. Safety and Efficacy
    • 11.10.5. Product Profile
  • 11.11. FASLODEX (fulvestrant) Injection: AstraZeneca
    • 11.11.1. Product Description
    • 11.11.2. Regulatory Milestones
    • 11.11.3. Other Development Activities
    • 11.11.4. Safety and Efficacy
    • 11.11.5. Product Profile

12. Emerging Therapies

  • 12.1. Emerging Competitive Landscape of Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer
  • 12.2. KEYTRUDA (pembrolizumab): Merck
    • 12.2.1. Product Description
    • 12.2.2. Other Developmental Activity
    • 12.2.3. Clinical Development
    • 12.2.4. Safety and Efficacy
  • 12.3. ARV-471 (vepdegestrant): Arvinas
    • 12.3.1. Product Description
    • 12.3.2. Other Developmental Activities
    • 12.3.3. Clinical Development
    • 12.3.4. Safety and Efficacy
  • 12.4. OP1250 (palazestrant): Olema Pharmaceuticals
    • 12.4.1. Product Description
    • 12.4.2. Other developmental Activities
    • 12.4.3. Clinical development
    • 12.4.4. Safety and Efficacy
  • 12.5. Gedatolisib: Celcuity
    • 12.5.1. Product Description
    • 12.5.2. Other Developmental Activities
    • 12.5.3. Clinical Development
    • 12.5.4. Safety and Efficacy
  • 12.6. Giredestrant (RG6171, GDC-9545): Roche
    • 12.6.1. Product Description
    • 12.6.2. Other Developmental Activity
    • 12.6.3. Clinical Development
    • 12.6.4. Safety and Efficacy
  • 12.7. Datopotamab Deruxtecan (Dato-DXd): AstraZeneca and Daiichi Sankyo
    • 12.7.1. Product Description
    • 12.7.2. Other Development Activity
    • 12.7.3. Clinical Development
    • 12.7.4. Safety and Efficacy
  • 12.8. Camizestrant (AZD9833): AstraZeneca
    • 12.8.1. Product Description
    • 12.8.2. Other Developmental Activities
    • 12.8.3. Clinical Development
    • 12.8.4. Safety and Efficacy
  • 12.9. LY3484356/Imlunestrant: Eli Lilly
    • 12.9.1. Product Description
    • 12.9.2. Clinical Development
    • 12.9.3. Safety and Efficacy
  • 12.1. Lasofoxifene: Sermonix Pharmaceuticals
    • 12.10.1. Product Description
    • 12.10.2. Other Developmental Activities
    • 12.10.3. Clinical Development
    • 12.10.4. Safety and Efficacy
  • 12.11. Capivasertib: AstraZeneca
    • 12.11.1. Product Description
    • 12.11.2. Other Developmental Activity
    • 12.11.3. Clinical Development
    • 12.11.4. Safety and Efficacy
  • 12.12. Inavolisib: Roche/Genentech
    • 12.12.1. Product Description
    • 12.12.2. Clinical Development
    • 12.12.3. Safety and Efficacy
  • 12.13. Enobosarm: Veru Pharma
    • 12.13.1. Product Description
    • 12.13.2. Other Development Activities
    • 12.13.3. Clinical Development
    • 12.13.4. Safety and Efficacy
  • 12.14. DB-1303: DualityBio/BioNtech
    • 12.14.1. Product Description
    • 12.14.2. Other Developmental Activity
    • 12.14.3. Clinical Development
    • 12.14.4. Safety and Efficacy
  • 12.15. SFX-01: Evgen Pharma
    • 12.15.1. Product Description
    • 12.15.2. Other Developmental Activity
    • 12.15.3. Clinical Development
    • 12.15.4. Safety and Efficacy
  • 12.16. Samuraciclib (CT-7001): Carrick Therapeutics
    • 12.16.1. Product Description
    • 12.16.2. Other Developmental Activities
    • 12.16.3. Clinical Development
    • 12.16.4. Safety and Efficacy
  • 12.17. Lerociclib: EQRx/G1 Therapeutics
    • 12.17.1. Product Description
    • 12.17.2. Other Developmental Activities
    • 12.17.3. Clinical Development
    • 12.17.4. Safety and Efficacy
  • 12.18. Eftilagimod Alpha (LAG-3lg/IMP321): Immutep
    • 12.18.1. Product Description
    • 12.18.2. Other Developmental Activities
    • 12.18.3. Clinical Development
    • 12.18.4. Safety and Efficacy

13. Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer: The 7MM Analysis

  • 13.1. Key Findings
  • 13.2. Market Outlook
  • 13.3. Key Market Forecast Assumptions
  • 13.4. Conjoint Analysis
  • 13.5. Total Market Size of Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer in the 7MM
  • 13.6. The United States Market Size
    • 13.6.1. Total Market Size of Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer in the United States
    • 13.6.2. Market Size of Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer by Therapies in the United States
  • 13.7. EU4 and the UK Market Size
    • 13.7.1. Total Market Size of Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer in EU4 and the UK
    • 13.7.2. Market Size of Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer by Therapies in EU4 and the UK
  • 13.8. Japan Market Size
    • 13.8.1. Total Market Size of Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer in Japan
    • 13.8.2. Market Size of Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer by Therapies in Japan

14. SWOT Analysis of Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer

15. KOL Views of Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer

16. Market Access and Reimbursement of Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer

  • 16.1. United States
    • 16.1.1. Centre for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS)
  • 16.2. EU4 and the UK
    • 16.2.1. Germany
    • 16.2.2. France
    • 16.2.3. Italy
    • 16.2.4. Spain
    • 16.2.5. United Kingdom
  • 16.3. Japan
    • 16.3.1. MHLW
  • 16.4. HR+/HER2-: Market Access and Reimbursement
    • 16.4.1. The United States
    • 16.4.2. The United Kingdom
    • 16.4.3. France
    • 16.4.4. Germany
    • 16.4.5. Spanish Agency of Medicines and Medical Products (AEMPS)
    • 16.4.6. Italy

17. Appendix

  • 17.1. Bibliography
  • 17.2. Report Methodology

18. DelveInsight Capabilities

19. Disclaimer

20. About DelveInsight

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