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통신사업자 직원 수 추적 보고서(2026년 2분기) : 통신사업자가 AI 활용을 가속화하는 한편, 직원 수는 여전히 연간 2%로 감소 중

Telco Workforce Tracker, 2Q26: Headcount Still Falling By 2% Per Year, Even as Telcos Accelerate AI Efforts

발행일: | 리서치사: 구분자 MTN Consulting, LLC | 페이지 정보: 영문 | 배송안내 : 즉시배송

    
    
    



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※ 본 상품은 영문 자료로 한글과 영문 목차에 불일치하는 내용이 있을 경우 영문을 우선합니다. 정확한 검토를 위해 영문 목차를 참고해주시기 바랍니다.

이 보고서가 필요한 이유

2026년 2분기, 전 세계 통신 업계의 종업원 수는 전년 동기 대비 2.1% 감소했습니다. 이는 새로운 추세가 아닙니다. 2019년 이후 종업원 수는 분기마다 감소세를 이어왔으며, 이번 감소율도 지금까지의 장기적인 감소 추세와 일치합니다. 달라진 것은 그 이유입니다. 통신사업자들은 현재 인력 감축의 이유로 단순한 비용 절감뿐만 아니라 AI 및 자동화 도입을 직접적으로 꼽고 있습니다. 다만, 이러한 인력 감축이 성과로 이어지고 있는지는 별개의 문제입니다. MTN Consulting의 독자적인 데이터에 따르면 그 답은 ‘아니오’입니다. 72개 통신사업자를 분석한 결과, 인력 감축과 EBIT 마진 확대 사이에는 측정 가능한 상관관계가 나타나지 않았습니다(r = -0.01). 매출 성장이야말로 마진 변동을 예측하는 요인이며, 인력 감축은 그렇지 않습니다.

이 보고서를 작성한 이유는 통신사업자들이 자사의 인력 전략에 대해 말하는 내용과 실제 행동 사이에 큰 괴리가 있기 때문입니다. 이번 버전에서는 통신사업자의 직원 수와 하이퍼스케일러의 직원 수를 비교한, 업계 최초로 실데이터에 기반한 분석을 추가했습니다. 현재 하이퍼스케일러의 직원 수는 통신사업자보다 12.7% 더 많습니다. 인프라 구축이 진전됨에 따라 기술 업무를 누가 담당할 것인가에 대한 구도도 변화하고 있습니다. 이 보고서는 이러한 변화의 양측을 분기별로 추적하는 유일한 보고서입니다.

이 보고서는 매 분기마다 동일한 조사 대상 기업군과 조사 기법을 사용하여 업데이트되므로, 매번 새로운 인사이트를 얻을 수 있습니다. 단순히 전 분기 수치의 날짜만 갱신한 것이 아닙니다. 정기 구독의 가치는 한 분기만을 따로 떼어내어 보는 것이 아니라, 향후 변화가 어떻게 일어나고 있는지를 지속적으로 파악할 수 있기 때문입니다.

조사 범위

본 조사는 통신사업자 부문의 전 세계 고용 동향을 모니터링하는 것입니다. MTN Consulting은 120개의 현역 기업을 포함한 145개의 통신사업자를 조사 대상으로 하고 있습니다. 이 보고서에서는 세계 시장의 약 85%를 차지하는 72개 주요 통신사업자에 대해 상세한 분석을 제공합니다. 데이터의 대상 기간은 2011년 1분기부터 2026년 2분기까지입니다. 2026년 2분기 보고서에서는 SpaceX를 1개사 추가하여 2023년 1분기부터의 데이터를 수록하고 있습니다.

주요 조사 결과: 2026년 2분기 분석

1. 전 세계 직원 수는 2026년 2분기에 전년 동기 대비 2.1% 감소하여, MTN Consulting이 독자적으로 선정한 72개사 패널의 감소율보다 2배 이상 높은 수치를 기록했습니다.

전 세계 통신사업자의 종업원 수는 2026년 2분기에 428만 6,000명으로, 2025년 2분기의 437만 8,000명 대비 2.1% 감소했습니다. 두 분기에 공통으로 포함된 기업을 기준으로 비교한 72개사 패널에서는동 기간의 감소율은 이보다 작아, 2025년 2분기 367만 1,000명에서 2026년 2분기에는 363만 8,000명으로 0.93% 감소했습니다.

이러한 차이는 145개사(이 중 현역 기업 120개사)의 통신사업자 중 72개사 패널에 포함되지 않은 약 68개사의 중소·중견 통신사업자에서 인력 감축이 더 크게 진행되고 있을 가능성을 시사합니다.

목차

  • 1. 분석
  • 2. 인원 수의 동향
  • 3. 세계적 성과
  • 4. 기업 실적
  • 5. 랭킹
  • 6. 원시 데이터
  • 7. 본서에 대하여

조사 대상

-전 세계 수치는 145개 통신사를 대상으로 한 분기별 통신사 트래커를 기반으로 함

-다음 72개 통신사업자에 대해 상세 분석을 실시:

  • A1 Telekom Austria
  • Advanced Info Service(AIS)
  • Airtel
  • Altice Europe
  • America Movil
  • AT&T
  • Axiata
  • Batelco
  • BCE
  • Bezeq Israel
  • Bouygues Telecom
  • BSNL
  • BT
  • China Mobile
  • China Telecom
  • China Unicom
  • Chunghwa Telecom
  • Cyfrowy Polsat
  • Deutsche Telekom
  • Du
  • Entel
  • Etisalat
  • Globe Telecom
  • Grupo Televisa
  • Iliad SA
  • KDDI
  • KPN
  • KT
  • LG Uplus
  • Megafon
  • Millicom
  • Mobile Telesystems
  • MTN Group
  • NTT
  • Oi
  • Omantel
  • Ooredoo
  • Orange
  • PCCW
  • PLDT
  • Proximus
  • Quebecor Telecommunications
  • Rogers
  • Rostelecom
  • Safaricom Limited
  • Singtel
  • SK Telecom
  • SoftBank
  • Spark New Zealand Limited
  • StarHub
  • STC(Saudi Telecom)
  • Swisscom
  • Taiwan Mobile
  • Tata Communications
  • Telecom Argentina
  • Telecom Egypt
  • Telecom Italia
  • Telefonica
  • Telenor
  • Telia
  • Telkom Indonesia
  • Telkom SA
  • Telstra
  • Telus
  • TPG Telecom Limited
  • True Corp
  • Turk Telekom
  • Turkcell
  • Verizon
  • Vodafone
  • Zain
  • Zain KSA
KSA 26.10.01

Why you need this report

Global telco headcount fell 2.1% year over year in 2Q26. That is not new - it has fallen every quarter since 2019, and this is in line with the historic decline. What changed is the reason: operators are now citing AI and automation deployments directly when they explain the cuts, not just cost discipline. Whether the cuts are paying off is a separate question, and MTN Consulting’s own data says the answer is no: across 72 operators, there is no measurable link between cutting headcount and expanding EBIT margin (r = -0.01). Revenue growth predicts margin change; headcount cuts don’t.

We write this report because what telcos say about their workforce is far different than how they act. This edition adds the industry’s first hard comparison of telco headcount against hyperscale headcount; hyperscalers are now running 12.7% above telco employment. The buildout is changing who does the technical work, and this report is the only one tracking both sides of that shift quarter by quarter.

The report is updated every quarter using the same panel and methodology, but with new findings each time. It isn’t last quarter’s numbers with a new date. That’s what makes a standing subscription useful: the value comes from seeing the next change as it develops, rather than looking at one quarter in isolation.

Scope

This study monitors global employment dynamics within the telecommunications operator sector. MTN Consulting covers 145 telcos in its research, including 120 active companies. This “talent tracker” report provides a deep dive analysis of 72 key telcos, who represent roughly 85% of the global market. Data coverage spans from 1Q11 through 2Q26. With the 2Q26 report, we have added one company: SpaceX, with coverage starting in 1Q23.

Introduction: The automation imperative

With global telecom revenue still flat, operators keep shifting from growth targets to cost control. Automation, autonomous networks, and AI remain central to that shift. MTN Consulting’s Telecom AI & Automation (TAIA) module tracks this transition.

Telco headcount has fallen every quarter since 2019, other than the anomalous COVID quarter of 2Q20. The declines have been driven by layoffs, retirement, and attrition. The workforce profile keeps changing too, with demand shifting toward software, cloud, AI, and quantum-computing skills.

Operators are increasingly describing automation progress in specific, measurable terms rather than general AI enthusiasm. Verizon disclosed more than 70 million autonomous network configuration changes in 2025 and said 33,000 staff use Claude Code (Anthropic’s coding tool), targeting Level 4 autonomy under the TM Forum’s Autonomous Networks framework while retaining human oversight for exceptions. T-Mobile’s Chief Network Officer, Ankur Kapoor, claimed Level 4.5 autonomy for Dynamic CX, its AI-powered event-traffic management system.

Other operators are more guarded about how far that progress actually goes. Telstra’s global head of pre-sales, Regan Ireland, said network autonomy “must be earned, not assumed,” and that data quality remains the hardest unsolved problem in network AI. A Fierce Network Research report identified four barriers still blocking operators from an AI-native operating model, starting with network inventory accuracy running at only 50-60%. That’s a concrete reminder that AI-first language from the C-suite runs ahead of what most networks can support today.

Training and upskilling remain essential regardless of how far autonomy has progressed. BT launched an AI-upskilling initiative with Avanade and Microsoft; BT is also the panel’s #8 largest headcount decliner in 2Q26, down 9.5% YoY.

Success now depends on balancing retraining with selective hiring for digital-first roles, the same conclusion as the prior edition - what’s changed is that operators now have a full year of concrete autonomy-level claims to be checked against, not just stated ambitions.

The layoff paradox

Large layoff announcements keep making headlines, increasingly paired with an explicit AI justification. AT&T said in June 2026 that its AI-driven OSS/BSS token-optimization architecture, now processing more than 27 billion tokens per day, is on a path to $4 billion in savings by 2028. Amdocs, a telecom vendor rather than an operator, disclosed AI-related layoffs as part of its OSS/BSS restructuring while also unveiling an AI-RAN blueprint. The same automation story operators are applying to their workforces is now playing out inside the vendor itself.

Among operators, Charter added 1,200 new job cuts following its Cox acquisition, and SK Telecom’s dedicated AI subsidiary offered staff voluntary retirement amid restructuring just weeks after launch. That’s notable because SK Telecom’s group-level headcount still grew 8.0% YoY in 2Q26. The AI unit is shrinking within a growing workforce, rather than driving an overall headcount decline.

MTN Consulting’s own 2Q26 data shows no reliable link between the size of a headcount cut and the size of a margin gain. Telefonica cut headcount 19.3% YoY in 2Q26, the panel’s largest reduction, and its EBIT margin fell 4.3 percentage points over the same period, from 6.7% to 2.4%. That’s the opposite of what a cost-savings narrative would predict. By contrast, Tata Communications, Telecom Argentina, TPG Telecom, KT, and BT all cut headcount and saw EBIT margin rise, led by Tata Communications (+11.8pp) and Telecom Argentina (+7.9pp). But those gains cannot be attributed to workforce cuts alone: across the full 72-telco panel, the correlation between headcount change and margin change is effectively zero (r = -0.01, n=72) , but revenue growth is a good predictor of margin change (r = 0.34, n=72).

This matters for telecom CFOs and labor unions alike: headcount cuts do not reliably raise EBIT margin, even when paired with an explicit AI-savings target. A stated AI-driven cost target, like AT&T’s $4 billion 2028 figure, is an intention, not a result – and companies are rarely held to their commitments. MTN Consulting’s data says the base rate for that intention translating into a margin gain is close to a coin flip: of the 47 panel operators that cut headcount YoY in 2Q26, 26 saw EBIT margin rise and 21 saw it fall or hold.

Analysts should keep asking for evidence, quarter by quarter, before accepting that a given round of layoffs protect margin. By contrast, MTN Consulting’s TAIA research suggests operators with the highest EBIT margins and EBIT per employee tend to reinvest in workforce upskilling rather than cut indiscriminately - indiscriminate cuts risk morale, institutional knowledge, service quality, and brand equity, each of which can hurt profitability over a longer horizon than one quarter’s margin print captures.

Key findings: 2Q26 analysis

1. Global headcount fell 2.1% YoY in 2Q26, more than double the rate in MTN Consulting’s own 72-operator panel

Global telco employment was 4.286 million in 2Q26, down from 4.378 million in 2Q25, a decline of 2.1%. The 72-panel, paired on companies present in both quarters, fell a smaller 0.93% over the same period (3.638M in 2Q26 vs 3.671M in 2Q25).

The gap suggests headcount reduction is running deeper among the roughly 68 smaller and mid-scale operators in the group of 145 (120 active) telcos that sit outside the 72-telco panel.

2. Telefonica cut the most jobs in absolute terms; TPG Telecom cut the most in percentage terms

Largest absolute headcount reductions, 2Q25→2Q26: Telefonica -17,769; BT -7,914; Deutsche Telekom -7,254; AT&T -6,680; Etisalat -4,822; Mobile Telesystems -4,808; BSNL -2,536; Verizon -2,400.

Largest percentage declines, 2Q25→2Q26: Telefonica -19.3%; TPG Telecom -15.6%; Spark New Zealand -13.8%; KT -13.2%; Telecom Argentina -11.2%; Telenor -10.6%; Telkom Indonesia -9.7%; BT -9.5%.

Largest percentage gains, 2Q25→2Q26: KDDI +13.2%; Turkcell +9.3%; SoftBank +6.1%; Singtel +5.9%; Millicom +5.5%; Globe Telecom +4.8%; Telus +4.4%.

3. SK Telecom’s headcount declined 6.2% as its AI subsidiary offered voluntary retirement

SK Telecom’s headcount declined 6.2% YoY in 2Q26, consistent with broader workforce changes underway at the group, including restructuring of its AI operations. In October 2025, SK Telecom’s dedicated AI subsidiary offered voluntary retirement as part of a restructuring, according to Light Reading. The AI restructuring therefore appears to be part of a broader reduction in the group’s workforce, rather than occurring alongside group-level headcount growth.

4. Labor cost per employee rose 8.4% YoY in the panel even as headcount fell

Mean labor cost per employee across the 72-panel was $71.7K (annualized) in 2Q26, up 8.4% YoY. Total panel labor costs (annualized, trailing 4Q) were $228.0B in 2Q26 versus $216.2B in 2Q25, up 5.5%. At the global (G-140) level, labor cost per employee was $62.5K in 2Q26 versus $58.5K in 2Q25, up 6.8%.

Analysis: a shrinking, more expensive-per-head workforce is consistent with either wage inflation and a shift toward higher-paid technical/AI roles, or simply the mechanical effect of a smaller, more senior remaining headcount. The data does not tell us which is driving the increase.

5. Headcount cuts show no measurable link to margin gains - the correlation is effectively zero

Across the 72-panel, the correlation between YoY headcount change and YoY EBIT-margin change is r = -0.01 (n=72) - no relationship, positive or negative. Of the 47 operators that cut headcount YoY, 21 (45%) saw EBIT margin fall or hold rather than rise. Revenue growth is a far stronger predictor of margin change over the same period: r = 0.34 (n=72).

At the aggregate level, global EBIT margin was essentially flat: 15.81% in 2Q26 versus 15.82% in 2Q25, despite the 2.0% YoY global headcount decline.

Implication: headcount reduction is not a reliable driver of margin expansion, either for individual operators or across the panel. Revenue performance has a much stronger relationship with margin changes. This reinforces the finding from the previous edition, with 2Q26 data showing an even weaker relationship between headcount and margins.

6. Labor is a smaller share of the telco cost base than depreciation

Mapping trailing-4Q global revenue ($1,894.7B) to its cost components : labor costs $270.1B (14.3% of revenue); D&A $350.4B (18.5%); other opex $974.7B (51.4%); EBIT $299.5B (15.8%). These four shares sum to 100.0%, confirming they’re mutually exclusive and complete.

Implication: D&A is a larger share of the revenue dollar than labor. Headcount cuts therefore address only a relatively small part of the cost structure, while high capital intensity leaves operators carrying a large ongoing cost burden from their network and other assets.

7. EBIT per employee rose 6.6% YoY, tracking labor cost per employee almost exactly

Global EBIT per employee (annualized) was $69.3K in 2Q26 versus $65.5K in 2Q25, up 6.6% - nearly identical to the 6.9% rise in labor cost per employee over the same period. Whatever is driving the cost side is showing up on the output side too, in roughly equal measure.

The Hyperscaler Crossover

In 1Q11, the telco sector employed nearly four times as many people as the webscale sector. Following years of rapid hyperscale growth and telco consolidation, the two sectors reached parity in 2Q24. As of 2Q26, hyperscale headcount is now 12.7% higher than that of the global telco sector.

Telcos tend to hire lots of people in two groups: network/IT engineers, and sales & customer support staff. Telcos will continue to need people in these areas for many years to come, but the needs are declining. Geographic and scale efficiencies, automation, autonomous networking, and now AI all are allowing the telco workforce to do more with less. AI may facilitate some of these changes, but it is not the main driver. Telcos have been using automation to do more with less (staff) since well before the first Lucent 5ESS digital switch was deployed in 1982 in Seneca, Illinois.

By contrast, hyperscalers continue to branch out and have more diverse hiring needs. They do hire plenty of software engineers, but that’s not all. Some hire lots of logistics and fulfillment staff; some hire retail specialists. All key hyperscalers spend heavily on R&D, and in a number of different areas: robotics, drones, aerospace, quantum computing, gaming. Nowadays there is high demand in areas like chip and DC infrastructure design, cloud platform development, AI model training, etc.

At the same time, the hyperscalers have always aspired to downsize their workforce when possible. That’s why, for instance, Amazon has been investing in robotics since its 2012 acquisition of Kiva. Now there is more of a push to downsize, for two reasons. First, hyperscalers are spending so much on capex, that they need to cut operational expenses. Second, they need to show that they can “take their own medicine”. After all, they are all pushing the world to adopt AI as fast as possible, and they need to show that this approach can work. Meta’s big May 2026 layoff announcement is an example. There is a chance that Meta’s aggressive layoff strategy will be as successful as its rebranding to Meta in 2021.

Table of Contents

  • 1. Analysis
  • 2. Headcount trends
  • 3. Global results
  • 4. Company results
  • 5. Rankings
  • 6. Raw data
  • 7. About

Coverage

-Global figures are based on quarterly telco tracker, which covers 145 telcos

-Deep dive analysis for the following 72 telcos:

  • A1 Telekom Austria
  • Advanced Info Service (AIS)
  • Airtel
  • Altice Europe
  • America Movil
  • AT&T
  • Axiata
  • Batelco
  • BCE
  • Bezeq Israel
  • Bouygues Telecom
  • BSNL
  • BT
  • China Mobile
  • China Telecom
  • China Unicom
  • Chunghwa Telecom
  • Cyfrowy Polsat
  • Deutsche Telekom
  • Du
  • Entel
  • Etisalat
  • Globe Telecom
  • Grupo Televisa
  • Iliad SA
  • KDDI
  • KPN
  • KT
  • LG Uplus
  • Megafon
  • Millicom
  • Mobile Telesystems
  • MTN Group
  • NTT
  • Oi
  • Omantel
  • Ooredoo
  • Orange
  • PCCW
  • PLDT
  • Proximus
  • Quebecor Telecommunications
  • Rogers
  • Rostelecom
  • Safaricom Limited
  • Singtel
  • SK Telecom
  • SoftBank
  • Spark New Zealand Limited
  • StarHub
  • STC (Saudi Telecom)
  • Swisscom
  • Taiwan Mobile
  • Tata Communications
  • Telecom Argentina
  • Telecom Egypt
  • Telecom Italia
  • Telefonica
  • Telenor
  • Telia
  • Telkom Indonesia
  • Telkom SA
  • Telstra
  • Telus
  • TPG Telecom Limited
  • True Corp
  • Turk Telekom
  • Turkcell
  • Verizon
  • Vodafone
  • Zain
  • Zain KSA
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