상염색체 우성 다낭성 신장 질환(ADPKD) : 세계 시장 전망, 역학, 경쟁 구도 시장 예측 리포트(주요 32 시장) - 2025-2035년

Global Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease (ADPKD) Market Outlook

Thelansis's "Global Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease (ADPKD) Market Outlook, Epidemiology, Competitive Landscape, and Market Forecast Report (Top 32 Markets) - 2025 To 2035" covers disease overview, epidemiology, kidney biopsy cases, drug utilization, prescription share analysis, competitive landscape, clinical practice, regulatory landscape, patient share, market uptake, market forecast, and key market insights under the potential ADPKD treatment modalities options for the 32 markets (North America, Europe, Middle East, Asia Pacific, Africa, South / Latin America).

Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease (ADPKD) Overview

Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is the most common hereditary kidney disorder, driven primarily by mutations in the PKD1 (~78-85%) or PKD2 (~15%) genes, which encode the mechanosensory proteins polycystin-1 and polycystin-2. While typically inherited, approximately 10% of cases arise from de novo mutations. The disease is characterized by the inexorable development and expansion of multiple fluid-filled cysts scattered throughout the renal parenchyma, leading to massive nephromegaly, early-onset hypertension, and progressive structural damage. Clinical severity is highly variable even within families, though PKD1 mutations uniformly dictate a more aggressive course, often driving patients to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in their late 50s, whereas PKD2 patients typically reach ESRD about two decades later. Modern prognostic management heavily relies on measuring height-adjusted total kidney volume (htTKV) via MRI to identify rapid progressors. For these high-risk patients, the standard disease-modifying therapy is the vasopressin V2 receptor antagonist tolvaptan, which suppresses intracellular cAMP to slow cyst proliferation, thereby preserving renal function and delaying the need for renal replacement therapy.

Key Highlights

• ADPKD is a chronic, progressive rare disease with significant long-term renal and cardiovascular burden.
• In the UK, incident cases are expected to increase from ~4.4K in 2025 to ~4.9K by 2035, reflecting a low growth rate (~1% CAGR).

Market Overview

• The ADPKD market in Germany is projected to grow from ~$130M in 2025 to ~$225M by 2035, reflecting a CAGR of ~5-6%.
• Current treatment landscape is limited, with Tolvaptan as the only widely adopted disease-modifying therapy

Market Definition:

• North America (United States, Canada)
• Europe (Austria, Belgium, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Russia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom)
• Middle East (Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait, Turkey)
• Asia Pacific (Australia, China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, Vietnam)
• Africa (Egypt, Nigeria, South Africa, Morocco)
• South / Latin America (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Peru)

Insights driven by robust research, including:

• In-depth interviews with leading KOLs and payers
• Physician surveys
• RWE analysis for claims and EHR datasets
• Secondary research (e.g., peer-reviewed journal articles, third-party research databases)

Deliverables format and updates*:

• Detailed Report (PDF)
• Market Forecast Model (MS Excel-based automated dashboard)
• Epidemiology (MS Excel; interactive tool)
• Executive Insights (PowerPoint presentation)
• Others: regular updates, customizations, consultant support
• As per Thelansis's policy, we ensure that we include all the recent updates before releasing the report content and market model.

Salient features of Market Forecast model:

• 10-year market forecast (2025-2035)
• Bottom-up patient-based market forecasts validated through the top-down sales methodology
• Covers clinically and commercially-relevant patient populations/ line of therapies
• Annualized drug-level sales and patient share projections
• Utilizes our proprietary Epilansis and Analog tool (e.g., drug uptake and erosion) datasets and conjoint analysis approach
• Detailed methodology/sources & assumptions
• Graphical and tabular outputs
• Users can customize the model based on requirements

Key business questions answered:

• How can drug development and lifecycle management strategies be optimized across the 32 markets (North America, Europe, Middle East, Asia Pacific, Africa, South / Latin America)?
• How large is the patient population in terms of incidence, prevalence, segments, and those receiving drug treatments?
• What is the 10-year market outlook for sales and patient share?
• Which events will have the greatest impact on the market's trajectory?
• What insights do interviewed experts provide on current and emerging treatments?
• Which pipeline products show the most promise, and what is their potential for launch and future positioning?
• What are the key unmet needs and KOL expectations for target profiles?
• What key regulatory and payer requirements must be met to secure drug approval and favorable market access?

Countries Covered

• North America (United States, Canada)
• Europe (Austria, Belgium, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Russia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom)
• Middle East (Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait, Turkey)
• Asia Pacific (Australia, China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, Vietnam)
• Africa (Egypt, Nigeria, South Africa, Morocco)
• South / Latin America (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Peru)

Companies Mentioned

• Regulus Therapeutics Inc.
• AbbVie
• AstraZeneca
• Jemincare
• Rege Nephro Co., Ltd.
• PYC Therapeutics
• Vertex Pharmaceuticals
• Otsuka Pharmaceutical
• XORTX Therapeutics
• Poxel SA
• Calico Life Sciences
• AceLink Therapeutics
• PYC Therapeutics

Table of Contents

1. Key Findings and Analyst Commentary

• Key trends: market snapshots, SWOT analysis, commercial benefits and risks, etc.

2. Disease Context

• Disease definition, classification, etiology and pathophysiology, drug targets, etc.

3. Epidemiology

• Key takeaways
• Incidence / Prevalence
• Diagnosed and Drug-Treated populations
• Comorbidities
• Other relevant patient segments

4. Market Size and Forecast

• Key takeaways
• Market drivers and constraints
• Drug-class specific trends
• Country-specific trends

5. Competitive Landscape

• Current therapies
• Key takeaways
• Dx and Tx journey/algorithm
• Key current therapies - profiles and KOL insights
• Emerging therapies
• Key takeaways
• Notable late-phase emerging therapies - profiles, launch expectations, KOL insights
• Notable early-phase pipeline

6. Unmet Need and TPP Analysis

• Top unmet needs and future attainment by emerging therapies
• TPP analysis and KOL expectations

7. Regulatory and Reimbursement Environments (by country and payer insights)

8. Appendix (e.g., bibliography, methodology)