원전 해체 시장 보고서 : 원자로 유형, 전략, 용량 및 지역별(2024-2032년)

The global nuclear decommissioning market size reached US$ 6.8 Billion in 2023. Looking forward, IMARC Group expects the market to reach US$ 10.6 Billion by 2032, exhibiting a growth rate (CAGR) of 4.9% during 2024-2032. Rising utilization of renewable energy sources, shutting down of nuclear reactors, and focus on radioactive waste management are expanding the market growth.

Nuclear Decommissioning Market Analysis:

Major Market Drivers: The demand for renewable energy and rising number of ageing nuclear power plants is contributing to the growth of the market.

Key Market Trends: The rising focus on environmental remediation, along with the ongoing adoption of innovative technologies, are facilitating the market growth.

Geographical Trends: Europe holds the largest segment because of stringent regulatory frameworks for nuclear safety.

Competitive Landscape: Some of the major market players in the nuclear decommissioning industry include Aecom, Babcock International Group PLC, Bechtel Corporation, Electricite de France S.A, EnergySolutions, General Electric Company, James Fisher and Sons plc, Northstar Group Services Inc., Ontario Power Generation Inc., Orano SA, Studsvik AB and Westinghouse Electric Company LLC., among many others.

Challenges and Opportunities: While the market faces challenges like technical issues, which impacts the market, it also encounters opportunities in the development of effective and safe decommissioning process.

Nuclear Decommissioning Market Trends:

Increasing demand for renewable energy sources

Renewable energy sources like solar, wind, and hydropower are now becoming more cost-competitive with the traditional sources such as nuclear power. Therefore, the trend of renewable energy is increasing, which can directly compete with nuclear power in the energy market. The competition can affect the profitability and viability of the nuclear power plants, which results in their early decommissioning. Besides this, the rising public awareness about environmental issues and nuclear safety and radioactive waste disposal that can affect public opinion and choices on energy sources is supporting the market growth. Renewable energy is usually recognized as cleaner, safer, and more sustainable compared to nuclear power. This, in turn, is increasing the public support and demand for renewable energy initiatives. This change in the public opinion can create a pressure on the policymakers to prioritize the development of renewable energy and at the same time phase out the nuclear power, which is leading to the decommissioning of the nuclear facilities. The dismantlement of nuclear power plants is leading to the adoption of other energy sources like the renewable energy. According to the International Energy Agency report, it is expected that the renewable energy sources will account for over 42% of global electricity generation in 2028, with the share of wind and solar PV doubling to 25%.

Shutting down of nuclear reactors

The World Nuclear Association report of 2024 claims that over the past 20 years, 107 nuclear reactors were shut down across the globe. As nuclear reactors reach the end of their operational lifespans or become economically unviable, they are shut down permanently. Thus the number of nuclear decommissioning projects is rising around the world. With the growing number of reactors being shut down, there is an increasing demand for skilled professionals and firms that can manage the complex decommissioning process safely, efficiently, and cost-effectively. Besides this, the shutdown of nuclear reactors is leading to the development of advanced decommissioning technologies and methods. Companies are spending on research and development (R&D) activities to come up with the safer, more efficient, and cost-effective ways of dismantling, decontamination, waste management, and site remediation, which is anticipated to influence the nuclear decommissioning market growth.

Rising focus on radioactive waste management

As per the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) report of 2022, the total global inventory of solid radioactive waste was approximately 38 million m3, of which 81% of the total waste was disposed of permanently and a further 19% was in storage awaiting for final disposal. Radioactive waste is also generated during decommissioning activities, which is becoming a significant challenge. As a result, there is an increasing demand for innovative waste treatment and disposable methods for radioactive waste. Moreover, regulatory agencies are imposing strict rules for the safe management and disposal of radioactive waste that is produced during decommissioning activities. The compliance with these regulations is vital for getting the permits and the approvals to proceed with the decommissioning projects. As rules are changing to deal with the environmental and safety issues, firms participating in nuclear decommissioning are investing in waste management solutions to comply with these rules. In addition, effective radioactive waste management is the key to the protection of public health and the environment. Improper handling or throwing away the radioactive waste can cause the pollution of the soil, water, and air, which is leading long-term dangers to human health and the environment. Furthermore, stakeholders, among which regulatory authorities, local communities, and environmental organizations, are closely examining decommissioning projects to make sure that the radioactive waste is handled safely and responsibly.

Nuclear Decommissioning Market Segmentation:

IMARC Group provides an analysis of the key trends in each segment of the market, along with nuclear decommissioning market forecasts at the global, regional, and country levels for 2024-2032. Our report has categorized the market based on reactor type, strategy, and capacity.

Breakup by Reactor Type:

Pressurized Water Reactor (PWR)

Boiling Water Reactor (BWR)

Gas Cooled Reactor (GCR)

Others

Pressurized water reactor (PWR) accounts for the majority of the market share

The report has provided a detailed breakup and analysis of the market based on the reactor type. This includes pressurized water reactor (PWR), boiling water reactor (BWR), gas cooled reactor (GCR), and others. According to the report, pressurized water reactor (PWR) represents the largest segment.

Pressure water reactor (PWR) is the most used reactor technology for nuclear power generation around the world. As many of these reactors are approaching the end of their operational life spans, the need for decommissioning services is increasing. Additionally, PWRs are huge in size in comparison to other reactors, which, in turn, causes the decommissioning processes to be complicated and requires a lot of resources and experts. Moreover, PWR decommissioning projects usually involve large amounts of radioactive waste, requiring sophisticated waste management solutions.

Breakup by Strategy:

Deferred Dismantling

Entombment

Immediate Dismantling

Immediate dismantling holds the largest share of the industry

A detailed breakup and analysis of the market based on the strategy have also been provided in the report. This includes deferred dismantling, entombment, and immediate dismantling. According to the report, immediate dismantling accounts for the largest market share.

The instant removal of the radioactive materials and structures from a decommissioned nuclear facility is the immediate dismantling. This approach allows for the release of the site for potential reuse or redevelopment, minimizing the long-term financial liabilities associated with maintaining a decommissioned facility. Besides this, nuclear decommissioning market recent development of the technology and expertise is making the immediate dismantling feasible and cost-effective, thereby driving its widespread adoption.

Breakup by Capacity:

Upto 800 MW

801 MW-1000 MW

Above 1000 MW

Upto 800 MW represents the leading market segment

The report has provided a detailed breakup and analysis of the market based on the capacity. This includes upto 800 MW, 801 MW-1000 MW, and above 1000 MW. According to the report, upto 800 MW represents the largest segment.

Smaller reactors within this segment tend to be older and less economically viable to operate compared to larger and more modern plants. Consequently, they are more likely to be decommissioned. Furthermore, regulatory requirements and safety standards for decommissioning are generally similar regardless of plant size, and complexities and challenges associated with decommissioning smaller reactors are often comparable to those of larger ones. As a result, decommissioning projects for reactors up to 800 MW represent a substantial portion of the overall nuclear decommissioning demand.

Breakup by Region:

North America

United States

Canada

Asia-Pacific

China

Japan

India

South Korea

Australia

Indonesia

Others

Europe

Germany

France

United Kingdom

Italy

Spain

Russia

Others

Latin America

Brazil

Mexico

Others

Middle East and Africa

Europe leads the market, accounting for the largest nuclear decommissioning market share

The report has also provided a comprehensive analysis of all the major regional markets, which include North America (the United States and Canada); Asia Pacific (China, Japan, India, South Korea, Australia, Indonesia, and others); Europe (Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, Russia, and others); Latin America (Brazil, Mexico, and others); and the Middle East and Africa. According to the report, Europe represents the largest regional market for nuclear decommissioning.

According to the World Nuclear Association report of 2024, in UK 36 nuclear reactors were shut down by 2024. Europe has a notable number of ageing nuclear power plants that are reaching the end of their operational lifespans. As many of these plants were built several decades ago and decommissioning them are becoming a necessity. Secondly, European countries have stringent regulatory frameworks governing nuclear safety and decommissioning, which necessitate thorough planning and compliance with rigorous standards. These regulations create a robust framework for decommissioning activities, ensuring that they are carried out safely and responsibly.

Competitive Landscape:

The market research report has also provided a comprehensive analysis of the competitive landscape in the market. Detailed profiles of all major nuclear decommissioning companies have also been provided. Some of the major market players in the nuclear decommissioning industry include Aecom, Babcock International Group PLC, Bechtel Corporation, Electricite de France S.A, EnergySolutions, General Electric Company, James Fisher and Sons plc, Northstar Group Services Inc., Ontario Power Generation Inc., Orano SA, Studsvik AB and Westinghouse Electric Company LLC.

(Please note that this is only a partial list of the key players, and the complete list is provided in the report.)

Companies are continuously developing innovative decommissioning solutions, such as advanced robotics and remote handling technologies. They are also manufacturing specialized equipment and processes for handling and treating radioactive waste generated during decommissioning activities to increase the nuclear decommissioning market revenue. Many key players are providing a range of services, including dismantling, decontamination, waste management, and site restoration. In addition, many leading players are offering comprehensive decommissioning solutions, including reactor dismantling, waste packaging, and site restoration. Several companies are shutting down their nuclear plants due to their aging intended operational lifespans. For instance, in 2022, Entergy Corporation shut down its Palisades nuclear plant on Lake Michigan, which was an 800-megawatt facility.

Nuclear Decommissioning Market News:

October 31, 2023: Bechtel and Westinghouse expanded their partnership with Czech Republic to supply four AP1000 reactors, which is the most advanced nuclear technology.

June 21, 2023: EnergySolutions, a major supplier of services to the nuclear industry announced that it will deliver experienced project management and supervision in support of U.S. nuclear plant life extension and new plant construction, and it is also supporting the energy industry's 2050 net zero goals.

Key Questions Answered in This Report:

• How has the global nuclear decommissioning market performed so far, and how will it perform in the coming years?
• What are the drivers, restraints, and opportunities in the global market?
• What is the impact of each driver, restraint, and opportunity on the global market?
• What are the key regional markets?
• Which countries represent the most attractive market?
• What is the breakup of the market based on the reactor type?
• Which is the most attractive rector type in the market?
• What is the breakup of the market based on the strategy?
• Which is the most attractive strategy in the market?
• What is the breakup of the market based on the capacity?
• Which is the most attractive capacity in the market?
• What is the breakup of the market based on the region?
• Which is the most attractive region in the market?
• What is the competitive structure of the market?
• Who are the key players/companies in the global nuclear decommissioning market?

Table of Contents

1 Preface

2 Scope and Methodology

• 2.1 Objectives of the Study
• 2.2 Stakeholders
• 2.3 Data Sources
  • 2.3.1 Primary Sources
  • 2.3.2 Secondary Sources
• 2.4 Market Estimation
  • 2.4.1 Bottom-Up Approach
  • 2.4.2 Top-Down Approach
• 2.5 Forecasting Methodology

3 Executive Summary

4 Introduction

• 4.1 Overview
• 4.2 Key Industry Trends

5 Global Nuclear Decommissioning Market

• 5.1 Market Overview
• 5.2 Market Performance
• 5.3 Impact of COVID-19
• 5.4 Market Forecast

6 Market Breakup by Reactor Type

• 6.1 Pressurized Water Reactor (PWR)
  • 6.1.1 Market Trends
  • 6.1.2 Market Forecast
• 6.2 Boiling Water Reactor (BWR)
  • 6.2.1 Market Trends
  • 6.2.2 Market Forecast
• 6.3 Gas Cooled Reactor (GCR)
  • 6.3.1 Market Trends
  • 6.3.2 Market Forecast
• 6.4 Others
  • 6.4.1 Market Trends
  • 6.4.2 Market Forecast

7 Market Breakup by Strategy

• 7.1 Deferred Dismantling
  • 7.1.1 Market Trends
  • 7.1.2 Market Forecast
• 7.2 Entombment
  • 7.2.1 Market Trends
  • 7.2.2 Market Forecast
• 7.3 Immediate Dismantling
  • 7.3.1 Market Trends
  • 7.3.2 Market Forecast

8 Market Breakup by Capacity

• 8.1 Upto 800 MW
  • 8.1.1 Market Trends
  • 8.1.2 Market Forecast
• 8.2 801 MW-1000 MW
  • 8.2.1 Market Trends
  • 8.2.2 Market Forecast
• 8.3 Above 1000 MW
  • 8.3.1 Market Trends
  • 8.3.2 Market Forecast

9 Market Breakup by Region

• 9.1 North America
  • 9.1.1 United States
    • 9.1.1.1 Market Trends
    • 9.1.1.2 Market Forecast
  • 9.1.2 Canada
    • 9.1.2.1 Market Trends
    • 9.1.2.2 Market Forecast
• 9.2 Asia-Pacific
  • 9.2.1 China
    • 9.2.1.1 Market Trends
    • 9.2.1.2 Market Forecast
  • 9.2.2 Japan
    • 9.2.2.1 Market Trends
    • 9.2.2.2 Market Forecast
  • 9.2.3 India
    • 9.2.3.1 Market Trends
    • 9.2.3.2 Market Forecast
  • 9.2.4 South Korea
    • 9.2.4.1 Market Trends
    • 9.2.4.2 Market Forecast
  • 9.2.5 Australia
    • 9.2.5.1 Market Trends
    • 9.2.5.2 Market Forecast
  • 9.2.6 Indonesia
    • 9.2.6.1 Market Trends
    • 9.2.6.2 Market Forecast
  • 9.2.7 Others
    • 9.2.7.1 Market Trends
    • 9.2.7.2 Market Forecast
• 9.3 Europe
  • 9.3.1 Germany
    • 9.3.1.1 Market Trends
    • 9.3.1.2 Market Forecast
  • 9.3.2 France
    • 9.3.2.1 Market Trends
    • 9.3.2.2 Market Forecast
  • 9.3.3 United Kingdom
    • 9.3.3.1 Market Trends
    • 9.3.3.2 Market Forecast
  • 9.3.4 Italy
    • 9.3.4.1 Market Trends
    • 9.3.4.2 Market Forecast
  • 9.3.5 Spain
    • 9.3.5.1 Market Trends
    • 9.3.5.2 Market Forecast
  • 9.3.6 Russia
    • 9.3.6.1 Market Trends
    • 9.3.6.2 Market Forecast
  • 9.3.7 Others
    • 9.3.7.1 Market Trends
    • 9.3.7.2 Market Forecast
• 9.4 Latin America
  • 9.4.1 Brazil
    • 9.4.1.1 Market Trends
    • 9.4.1.2 Market Forecast
  • 9.4.2 Mexico
    • 9.4.2.1 Market Trends
    • 9.4.2.2 Market Forecast
  • 9.4.3 Others
    • 9.4.3.1 Market Trends
    • 9.4.3.2 Market Forecast
• 9.5 Middle East and Africa
  • 9.5.1 Market Trends
  • 9.5.2 Market Breakup by Country
  • 9.5.3 Market Forecast

10 SWOT Analysis

• 10.1 Overview
• 10.2 Strengths
• 10.3 Weaknesses
• 10.4 Opportunities
• 10.5 Threats

11 Value Chain Analysis

12 Porters Five Forces Analysis

• 12.1 Overview
• 12.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
• 12.3 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
• 12.4 Degree of Competition
• 12.5 Threat of New Entrants
• 12.6 Threat of Substitutes

13 Price Analysis

14 Competitive Landscape

• 14.1 Market Structure
• 14.2 Key Players
• 14.3 Profiles of Key Players
  • 14.3.1 Aecom
    • 14.3.1.1 Company Overview
    • 14.3.1.2 Product Portfolio
    • 14.3.1.3 Financials
    • 14.3.1.4 SWOT Analysis
  • 14.3.2 Babcock International Group PLC
    • 14.3.2.1 Company Overview
    • 14.3.2.2 Product Portfolio
    • 14.3.2.3 Financials
  • 14.3.3 Bechtel Corporation
    • 14.3.3.1 Company Overview
    • 14.3.3.2 Product Portfolio
    • 14.3.3.3 SWOT Analysis
  • 14.3.4 Electricite de France S.A
    • 14.3.4.1 Company Overview
    • 14.3.4.2 Product Portfolio
  • 14.3.5 EnergySolutions
    • 14.3.5.1 Company Overview
    • 14.3.5.2 Product Portfolio
    • 14.3.5.3 SWOT Analysis
  • 14.3.6 General Electric Company
    • 14.3.6.1 Company Overview
    • 14.3.6.2 Product Portfolio
    • 14.3.6.3 Financials
    • 14.3.6.4 SWOT Analysis
  • 14.3.7 James Fisher and Sons plc
    • 14.3.7.1 Company Overview
    • 14.3.7.2 Product Portfolio
    • 14.3.7.3 Financials
  • 14.3.8 Northstar Group Services Inc.
    • 14.3.8.1 Company Overview
    • 14.3.8.2 Product Portfolio
  • 14.3.9 Ontario Power Generation Inc.
    • 14.3.9.1 Company Overview
    • 14.3.9.2 Product Portfolio
    • 14.3.9.3 SWOT Analysis
  • 14.3.10 Orano SA
    • 14.3.10.1 Company Overview
    • 14.3.10.2 Product Portfolio
  • 14.3.11 Studsvik AB
    • 14.3.11.1 Company Overview
    • 14.3.11.2 Product Portfolio
    • 14.3.11.3 Financials
    • 14.3.11.4 SWOT Analysis
  • 14.3.12 Westinghouse Electric Company LLC
    • 14.3.12.1 Company Overview
    • 14.3.12.2 Product Portfolio
    • 14.3.12.3 SWOT Analysis