미국의 자율주행 농업용 트랙터 시장 : 시장 점유율 분석, 업계 동향 및 통계, 성장 예측(2026-2031년)

According to Mordor Intelligence, the United States autonomous agricultural tractors market was valued at USD 0.87 billion in 2025 and is estimated to grow from USD 0.99 billion in 2026 to USD 1.95 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 14.4% during the forecast period (2026-2031).

This report is Segmented by Horsepower (Up To 30 HP, 31 To 100 HP, and Above 100 HP), by Automation Level (Fully Automated and Semi-Automated), by Drive Type (Diesel, Hybrid, and More), by Application (Tillage, Sowing, Harvesting, and More), by Component (GPSand GNSS, and More), and by Farm Size (Small, Medium, and Large). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

United States Autonomous Agricultural Tractors Market Trends and Insights

Persistent Shortage of Skilled Farm Equipment Operators

The shortage of trained equipment operators is a direct driver for the United States autonomous agricultural tractors market. According to the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), H-2A certifications rose from 48,000 in fiscal year 2005 to 385,000 in fiscal year 2024. This expansion did not eliminate seasonal coverage gaps, as not every certified position resulted in a visa issuance. Farms require operators who can handle large equipment and understand precision planting, guidance systems, and field conditions. These capabilities are more specialized than general farm labor, making it difficult for farms to quickly replace experienced tractor operators. Autonomous systems enable experienced employees to shift from continuous driving to supervision and exception handling, addressing both operational and numerical workforce gaps. This need is most pronounced when farms must complete multiple field tasks within a short period.

Autonomous Work during Narrow Weather Windows

Planting and tillage windows in the Corn Belt can last fewer than 10 days before soil conditions become unsuitable. A tractor that can continue working through the night allows farms to make better use of this limited time. The benefit comes from timely fieldwork, not only from reduced labor hours. John Deere presented its autonomous 9RX at CES 2025, featuring a 16-camera perception system and a 40% increase in field speed compared with the first-generation platform[. The system was designed for field tasks where consistent operation is critical over long work periods. Autonomous equipment can perform headland turns and adjust implement depth using the same programmed approach during both day and night operations, reducing variability between daytime and overnight field passes. The United States autonomous agricultural tractor market benefits when delayed planting or tillage would otherwise reduce crop management options. Flat, large fields in the Midwest and Great Plains offer the most suitable operating conditions for this use case.

High Upfront Cost and Uncertain Farm-Level Payback

Autonomy kits require an upfront investment that many farms find difficult to justify. In February 2026, Purdue University's center for agriculture cited retrofit costs of USD 40,000 to USD 45,000 for John Deere 8R and 9R tractors, plus annual subscription fees of USD 10,000 for unlimited-acre tillage. Its 2026 analysis modeled a 50/50 corn-soybean rotation in the Midwest. The study found a USD 63 per-hectare deficit under baseline assumptions. It also found that autonomous equipment did not outperform conventional equipment until wages exceeded USD 44 per hour. The USDA reported an average field worker wage of USD 18.58 per hour in April 2025 . This gap means that labor savings alone are not enough to support the purchase decision. The United States autonomous agricultural tractors market to expand first among farms that cannot obtain labor at critical times. Smaller farms may need a service-based payment model or lower kit prices before adoption becomes practical.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

1. Precision Placement and Input-Use Optimization
2. Retrofit Autonomy for Existing Tractors
3. State-Level Operator-Presence and Liability Uncertainty

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

The 31 to 100 HP segment accounted for 46% of the United States autonomous agricultural tractors market revenue in 2025. This segment supports common row-crop tasks and is compatible with many tractors already in use on Midwestern farms. Demand is further supported by compatibility with retrofit systems, which allows buyers to upgrade existing equipment rather than replace it. The horsepower range also suits farms requiring autonomy for recurring tillage and field-preparation work. The segment's leading share reflects the size of the installed base and the practical utility of these tractors. At CES 2025, Deere & Company introduced the autonomous 9RX tractor, featuring a 16-camera perception system, demonstrating that manufacturers are extending autonomous capabilities across different tractor classes. The United States autonomous agricultural tractors market spans multiple horsepower ranges, as operating requirements vary by crop type and farm acreage.

The above 100 HP segment is forecast to grow at a 23.4% CAGR through 2031. Large commercial farms use these machines for heavy tillage and broad-acre fieldwork. Multi-machine supervision improves the value of high-horsepower equipment, as a single operator can oversee several units simultaneously. These machines can also cover more acreage during narrow weather windows, making their higher purchase cost more manageable on farms with substantial acreage. The less than 30 HP segment remains smaller in value but plays a role in specialty crops and controlled environments, as their compact dimensions suit areas where larger equipment cannot operate easily. The United States autonomous agricultural tractors market continues to include both high-capacity field platforms and smaller specialty machines, with the high-horsepower segment more closely tied to fleet-scale operations.

Semi-autonomous systems accounted for 58% of the United States autonomous agricultural tractors market revenue in 2025. These systems require human supervision, either on-site or remotely. This operating model aligns with current safety practices and state-level requirements, and allows growers to become familiar with autonomous technology without committing to fully unattended operation. The segment's majority share reflects the balance between available technology and practical farm risk management. Semi-autonomous systems can handle repeatable tasks while allowing human judgment when conditions change. This approach applies to tillage, grain cart work, and other planned field operations. Supervised systems currently serve as the primary commercial entry point in the United States autonomous agricultural tractors market.

Fully autonomous systems are forecast to grow at a 22.5% CAGR through 2031. Their growth depends on accumulated field experience, software improvements, and reduced intervention requirements. Each commercial deployment provides manufacturers with additional data on obstacle detection, positioning, and machine behavior, which helps expand the range of tasks that can be performed with less direct oversight. This segment is particularly relevant where farms cannot reliably hire operators during critical periods, and it offers a more scalable labor model for large fleets compared to semi-autonomous setups. Regulations and liability frameworks will influence how quickly unattended operation becomes common. The United States autonomous agricultural tractors market will remain weighted toward supervised models in the near term. Fully autonomous equipment carries a higher growth rate because it addresses the longer-term need for scalable fleet management.

Complete Report Scope:

• By Horsepower
  • Up to 30 HP
  • 31 to 100 HP
  • Above 100 HP
• By Automation Level
  • Semi-Autonomous
  • Fully Autonomous
• By Drive Type
  • Diesel
  • Hybrid
  • Battery-Electric
• By Application
  • Tillage
  • Sowing
  • Harvesting
  • Orchard and Vineyard Operations
• By Component
  • GPS and GNSS
  • Sensors and Vision Systems
  • LiDAR and Radar Modules
  • Control and Navigation Software
• By Farm Size
  • Small (Less than 100 ha)
  • Medium (100 to 500 ha)
  • Large (More than 500 ha)

List of Companies Covered in this Report:

1. Deere & Company
2. CNH Industrial N.V.
3. AGCO Corporation
4. Kubota Corporation
5. Monarch Tractor
6. YANMAR HOLDINGS CO., LTD.
7. CLAAS KGaA mbH
8. Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd.
9. SDF S.p.A.
10. TYM Corporation
11. ISEKI & CO., LTD.
12. Ztractor Inc.
13. Sabanto
14. Kinze Manufacturing
15. TYM Corporation

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 Introduction

• 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
• 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 Research Methodology

3 Executive Summary

4 Market Landscape

• 4.1 Market Overview
• 4.2 Market Drivers
  • 4.2.1 Persistent shortage of skilled farm equipment operators
  • 4.2.2 Autonomous operation across narrow weather windows
  • 4.2.3 Precision placement and input-use optimization
  • 4.2.4 Retrofit autonomy extending existing tractor life
  • 4.2.5 Multi-machine supervision in large-scale row-crop farms
  • 4.2.6 Specialty-crop safety and labor economics
• 4.3 Market Restraints
  • 4.3.1 High upfront cost and uncertain farm-level payback
  • 4.3.2 State-level operator-presence and liability uncertainty
  • 4.3.3 Intervention burden in real-world field conditions
  • 4.3.4 Limited interoperability across implements and farm software
• 4.4 Regulatory Landscape
• 4.5 Technological Outlook
• 4.6 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
  • 4.6.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
  • 4.6.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
  • 4.6.3 Threat of New Entrants
  • 4.6.4 Threat of Substitutes
  • 4.6.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 Market Size And Growth Forecasts (Value)

• 5.1 By Horsepower
  • 5.1.1 Up to 30 HP
  • 5.1.2 31 to 100 HP
  • 5.1.3 Above 100 HP
• 5.2 By Automation Level
  • 5.2.1 Semi-Autonomous
  • 5.2.2 Fully Autonomous
• 5.3 By Drive Type
  • 5.3.1 Diesel
  • 5.3.2 Hybrid
  • 5.3.3 Battery-Electric
• 5.4 By Application
  • 5.4.1 Tillage
  • 5.4.2 Sowing
  • 5.4.3 Harvesting
  • 5.4.4 Orchard and Vineyard Operations
• 5.5 By Component
  • 5.5.1 GPS and GNSS
  • 5.5.2 Sensors and Vision Systems
  • 5.5.3 LiDAR and Radar Modules
  • 5.5.4 Control and Navigation Software
• 5.6 By Farm Size
  • 5.6.1 Small (Less than 100 ha)
  • 5.6.2 Medium (100 to 500 ha)
  • 5.6.3 Large (More than 500 ha)

6 Competitive Landscape

• 6.1 Market Concentration
• 6.2 Strategic Moves
• 6.3 Market Share Analysis
• 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global Level Overview, Market Level Overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share, Products and Services, and Recent Developments)
  • 6.4.1 Deere & Company
  • 6.4.2 CNH Industrial N.V.
  • 6.4.3 AGCO Corporation
  • 6.4.4 Kubota Corporation
  • 6.4.5 Monarch Tractor
  • 6.4.6 YANMAR HOLDINGS CO., LTD.
  • 6.4.7 CLAAS KGaA mbH
  • 6.4.8 Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd.
  • 6.4.9 SDF S.p.A.
  • 6.4.10 TYM Corporation
  • 6.4.11 ISEKI & CO., LTD.
  • 6.4.12 Ztractor Inc.
  • 6.4.13 Sabanto
  • 6.4.14 Kinze Manufacturing
  • 6.4.15 TYM Corporation

7 Market Opportunities And Future Outlook