금속 캔 시장 : 시장 점유율 분석, 업계 동향 및 통계, 성장 예측(2026-2031년)

According to Mordor Intelligence, the global metal cans market size in 2026 is estimated at USD 88.45 billion, growing from 2025 value of USD 85.44 billion with 2031 projections showing USD 105.06 billion, growing at 3.52% CAGR over 2026-2031.

This report is Segmented by Material Type (Aluminium, and Steel), Can Structure (Two-Piece, Three-Piece, and More), Capacity/Size (<=250ml, 250-500ml, and More), Manufacturing Process (Drawn and Ironed, Drawn and Redrawn, and More), End-User Industry (Food, Beverage, Personal Care and Cosmetics, and More), and Geography (North America, and More). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

Global Metal Cans Market Trends and Insights

Aluminum Price Volatility Accelerates Lightweighting Adoption

Manufacturers are answering unpredictable aluminum costs by cutting material use instead of sacrificing margins. ReAl Gen 2, commercialized in 2024, reduces can wall thickness up to 15% while preserving top-load strength, directly offsetting commodity swings. Lighter cans also ease logistics emissions, aligning with corporate net-zero roadmaps. Premium brands willingly absorb the incremental technology cost because the aesthetic and sustainability credentials support higher shelf prices. Patent activity shows designers fine-tuning micro-alloy recipes that raise strength-to-weight ratios and enable high-speed impact extrusion. As more lines convert, the metal cans market enjoys a reinforcing cycle of lower material intensity and enhanced economic resilience.

Global DRS Programs Expanding Refill-Deposit Loops

Mandatory deposit-return systems are closing the loop on beverage containers and systematically advantaging infinitely recyclable aluminum. Europe's updated Packaging and Packaging Waste Regulation, in force since 2024, sets aggressive material-specific targets that aluminum readily meets. Singapore and Germany post return rates above 90%, providing reliable secondary feedstock that shields manufacturers from volatile virgin supply. These loops shrink lifecycle emissions and reduce producer compliance fees, which in turn encourage brand owners to pivot toward cans in new beverage sub-segments. As infrastructure matures, DRS economics further elevate the attractiveness of the metal cans market relative to PET and flexibles.

PET and Flexibles Cost Advantage in Emerging Markets

Where incomes stay modest, PET bottles and pouches undercut cans by 15-25% on a delivered-cost basis, slowing metal penetration in India, Brazil, and parts of Southeast Asia. PET's local resin output and lightweight logistics keep shelf prices low. Yet new Indian EPR rules effective 2024 have started to erode plastics' price edge by monetizing end-of-life liabilities, encouraging retailers to trial aluminum formats for aspirational sub-brands.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

1. Growth in RTD Beverage Launches
2. Food-Waste Reduction Initiatives Driving Shelf-Stable Formats
3. EU BPA-Migration Limits on Epoxy Liners

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Aluminum captured a commanding 70.56% metal cans market share in 2025 and is on course for a 4.35% CAGR through 2031. That dominance rests on closed-loop recycling systems that require 95% less energy than primary smelting, lowering scope 3 emissions for brand owners. Across beverages, personal care, and pharmaceuticals, marketers leverage aluminum's printable surface and corrosion resistance to differentiate premium SKUs. In parallel, decarbonization pressures elevate aluminum versus steel, whose mills face rising carbon fees.

Steel remains essential where physical robustness overrides weight penalties-chiefly in canned meats and heat-processed meals. Yet continuing decarbonization costs are eroding its long-term price competitiveness. Producers respond by alloying tinplate with chromium to trim gauge, but substitution risk persists. For investors, the metal cans market reflects a clear material bifurcation: aluminum for growth, steel for stability.

Two-piece cans preserved 54.06% share in 2025 thanks to efficient drawn-and-ironed lines that churn out billions of beverage units annually. These formats balance weight, cost, and stacking strength, underscoring their role as the backbone of the metal cans market size. On the innovation front, monobloc aerosol designs are expanding at a 4.78% CAGR, helped by personal-care brands seeking seamless shapes and advanced valves.

Impact-extruded monoblocs enable refillable cartridge systems and ultralight shells, unlocking eco-premium price points in deodorants and hair mists. Three-piece welded cans, while aging, sustain niche demand in large-volume foodservice and specialty products where customized diameters or necked ends matter more than weight. Overall, structural variety equips converters to serve diverse product viscosities, filling pressures, and shelf-life requirements.

Complete Report Scope:

• By Material Type
  • Aluminium
  • Steel
• By Can Structure
  • Two-Piece
  • Three-Piece
  • Monobloc Aerosol
• By Capacity / Size
  • <=250 ml
  • 250-500 ml
  • 500-1,000 ml
  • >1,000 ml
• By Manufacturing Process
  • Drawn and Ironed (D&I)
  • Drawn and Redrawn (DRD)
  • Impact Extrusion
• By End-User Industry
  • Food
  • Beverage
  • Personal Care and Cosmetics
  • Pharmaceuticals
  • Paints and Industrial Chemicals
  • Automotive Fluids and Lubricants
  • Other End-User Industry
• By Geography
  • North America
    • United States
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • South America
    • Brazil
    • Argentina
    • Chile
    • Rest of South America
  • Europe
    • United Kingdom
    • Germany
    • France
    • Spain
    • Italy
    • Rest of Europe
  • Asia-Pacific
    • China
    • India
    • Japan
    • Australia
    • South Korea
    • Vietnam
    • Rest of Asia-Pacific
  • Middle East and Africa
    • Middle East
      • Saudi Arabia
      • United Arab Emirates
      • Turkey
      • Rest of Middle East
    • Africa
      • South Africa
      • Nigeria
      • Egypt
      • Rest of Africa

Geography Analysis

North America led the global metal cans market with 39.72% revenue share in 2025. Mature soft-drink consumption, highly efficient curbside collection, and EPR statutes underpin stable can demand. Regional aluminum recycling rates hover near 75%, ensuring supply security while muting virgin-metal exposure. Recent announcements exceeding USD 200 million for new capacity in the United States and Mexico signal long-term confidence in steady, if incremental, growth.

Asia-Pacific is projected to log a 5.88% CAGR to 2031, the fastest worldwide. Urban migration, rising middle-class incomes, and surging RTD innovations keep can volumes expanding. Japan's deposit-scheme framework recovered 93% of aluminum cans in 2024, setting a circular-economy benchmark for neighbors. China's move from import dependence to regional export hub illustrates the strategic shift toward indigenous manufacturing and broader influence over global supply networks.

Europe balances opportunity and complexity. Stringent BPA rules force costly liner shifts, yet the same regulations elevate cans' sustainability credentials and accelerate steel-to-aluminum substitution. The Green Deal's circularity targets amplify recycling premiums, ultimately supporting the metal cans market despite short-term compliance drag. South America and the Middle East and Africa represent frontier demand where infrastructure gaps and price sensitivity slow adoption, but gradual EPR frameworks and digitization could lift can penetration over the forecast horizon.

1. Ball Corporation
2. Crown Holdings Inc.
3. Ardagh Group S.A.
4. Silgan Holdings Inc.
5. CAN-PACK S.A.
6. Toyo Seikan Group Holdings Ltd.
7. CPMC Holdings Ltd.
8. Showa Denko K.K.
9. Mauser Packaging Solutions LLC
10. DS Containers Inc.
11. CCL Container Inc.
12. Independent Can Company
13. Hindustan Tin Works Ltd.
14. Saudi Arabian Packaging Industry Co. (SAPIN)
15. Kian Joo Can Factory Berhad
16. Colep Packaging S.A.
17. Can-One Berhad
18. Greif Metal Packaging Division
19. Massilly Holding SAS
20. Universal Can Corp.
21. Pacific Can China Holdings Ltd.

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

• 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
• 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4 MARKET LANDSCAPE

• 4.1 Market Overview
• 4.2 Industry Value Chain Analysis
• 4.3 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
  • 4.3.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
  • 4.3.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers/Consumers
  • 4.3.3 Threat of New Entrants
  • 4.3.4 Threat of Substitute Products
  • 4.3.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry
• 4.4 Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on the Market
• 4.5 Market Drivers
  • 4.5.1 Aluminum price volatility accelerates lightweighting adoption
  • 4.5.2 Global DRS programs expanding refill-deposit loops
  • 4.5.3 Growth in RTD beverage launches
  • 4.5.4 Food-waste reduction initiatives driving shelf-stable formats
  • 4.5.5 Craft aerosol packaging for personal-care "at-home spa" trend†
  • 4.5.6 Smart-printing (QR/NFC) enabling supply-chain traceability
• 4.6 Market Restraints
  • 4.6.1 PET and flexibles cost advantage in emerging markets
  • 4.6.2 EU BPA-migration limits on epoxy liners
  • 4.6.3 Steel mill decarbonisation costs inflating input prices†
  • 4.6.4 E-commerce shift to "ship-in-own-container" formats

5 MARKET SIZE AND GROWTH FORECASTS

• 5.1 By Material Type
  • 5.1.1 Aluminium
  • 5.1.2 Steel
• 5.2 By Can Structure
  • 5.2.1 Two-Piece
  • 5.2.2 Three-Piece
  • 5.2.3 Monobloc Aerosol
• 5.3 By Capacity / Size
  • 5.3.1 <=250 ml
  • 5.3.2 250-500 ml
  • 5.3.3 500-1,000 ml
  • 5.3.4 >1,000 ml
• 5.4 By Manufacturing Process
  • 5.4.1 Drawn and Ironed (D&I)
  • 5.4.2 Drawn and Redrawn (DRD)
  • 5.4.3 Impact Extrusion
• 5.5 By End-User Industry
  • 5.5.1 Food
  • 5.5.2 Beverage
  • 5.5.3 Personal Care and Cosmetics
  • 5.5.4 Pharmaceuticals
  • 5.5.5 Paints and Industrial Chemicals
  • 5.5.6 Automotive Fluids and Lubricants
  • 5.5.7 Other End-User Industry
• 5.6 By Geography
  • 5.6.1 North America
    • 5.6.1.1 United States
    • 5.6.1.2 Canada
    • 5.6.1.3 Mexico
  • 5.6.2 South America
    • 5.6.2.1 Brazil
    • 5.6.2.2 Argentina
    • 5.6.2.3 Chile
    • 5.6.2.4 Rest of South America
  • 5.6.3 Europe
    • 5.6.3.1 United Kingdom
    • 5.6.3.2 Germany
    • 5.6.3.3 France
    • 5.6.3.4 Spain
    • 5.6.3.5 Italy
    • 5.6.3.6 Rest of Europe
  • 5.6.4 Asia-Pacific
    • 5.6.4.1 China
    • 5.6.4.2 India
    • 5.6.4.3 Japan
    • 5.6.4.4 Australia
    • 5.6.4.5 South Korea
    • 5.6.4.6 Vietnam
    • 5.6.4.7 Rest of Asia-Pacific
  • 5.6.5 Middle East and Africa
    • 5.6.5.1 Middle East
      • 5.6.5.1.1 Saudi Arabia
      • 5.6.5.1.2 United Arab Emirates
      • 5.6.5.1.3 Turkey
      • 5.6.5.1.4 Rest of Middle East
    • 5.6.5.2 Africa
      • 5.6.5.2.1 South Africa
      • 5.6.5.2.2 Nigeria
      • 5.6.5.2.3 Egypt
      • 5.6.5.2.4 Rest of Africa

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

• 6.1 Market Concentration
• 6.2 Strategic Moves
• 6.3 Market Share Analysis
• 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global Level Overview, Market Level Overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share, Products and Services, Recent Developments)
  • 6.4.1 Ball Corporation
  • 6.4.2 Crown Holdings Inc.
  • 6.4.3 Ardagh Group S.A.
  • 6.4.4 Silgan Holdings Inc.
  • 6.4.5 CAN-PACK S.A.
  • 6.4.6 Toyo Seikan Group Holdings Ltd.
  • 6.4.7 CPMC Holdings Ltd.
  • 6.4.8 Showa Denko K.K.
  • 6.4.9 Mauser Packaging Solutions LLC
  • 6.4.10 DS Containers Inc.
  • 6.4.11 CCL Container Inc.
  • 6.4.12 Independent Can Company
  • 6.4.13 Hindustan Tin Works Ltd.
  • 6.4.14 Saudi Arabian Packaging Industry Co. (SAPIN)
  • 6.4.15 Kian Joo Can Factory Berhad
  • 6.4.16 Colep Packaging S.A.
  • 6.4.17 Can-One Berhad
  • 6.4.18 Greif Metal Packaging Division
  • 6.4.19 Massilly Holding SAS
  • 6.4.20 Universal Can Corp.
  • 6.4.21 Pacific Can China Holdings Ltd.

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

• 7.1 White-space and Unmet-Need Assessment