중국의 콤바인 수확기 시장 : 시장 점유율 분석, 업계 동향 및 통계, 성장 예측(2026-2031년)

According to Mordor Intelligence, the china combine harvester market size expanded to USD 4.1 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 4.4 billion in 2026, and USD 6.4 billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 7.8% from 2026 to 2031.

This report is Segmented by Type ( Self-Propelled, Tractor-Pulled, and PTO-Powered Modular Combines), by Power Range (Less Than 120 HP, 120-200 HP, 201-300 HP, and More), and by Movement ( Wheel Type and Crawler Type). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

China Combine Harvesters Market Trends and Insights

Subsidy-Backed Mechanization Push

China's 2026 machinery purchase fund grew to USD 3.33 billion, a 10.7% increase over 2024, and high-feed-rate combines now receive 35-40% reimbursement, up from 30% for legacy machines. Shaanxi lifted the subsidy ceiling for six-kilogram-per-second tracked models from USD 5,250 to USD 6,300, accelerating the retirement of tangential-drum units. Cotton pickers now qualify for USD 11,200, confirming that support extends beyond staple grains. The 2024-2026 catalog also links eligibility to BeiDou receivers and loss sensors, forcing manufacturers to bundle telematics. Heilongjiang deployed BeiDou-guided harvesters across 650,000 hectares, trimming overlap waste by up to 12%. Jiangsu cooperatives installed 3,000 units with live yield mapping, which informs variable-rate fertilization. This policy suite cuts payback from 6 to 4 years for 250-horsepower machines, directly boosting annual shipments and speeding up replacement cycles.

Rural Labor Shortage and Rising Wage Costs

The share of rural residents aged 60 and above climbed from 9.55% in 2005 to 18.57% in 2021 and is forecast to hit 30% by 2030. Daily wages for manual harvesters in Lufeng rose to USD 17 in 2024, up 35% from 2020. Mechanized services charge USD 8-11 per 0.067 hectares, resulting in a net saving of USD 42 per 0.067 hectares for smallholders. Certified harvester operators stand at 11.7 million, while the machinery workforce is 50.1 million, widening the skills gap. Wen'an Cooperative in Hebei retrofitted 15 combines with serrated sieves, reducing grain loss to 0.85%. Inner Mongolia's Naiman Banner consolidated 75,133.3 hectares into 452 cooperatives, allowing fleets of 40 combines to serve 600-hectare blocks. As the median farmer age surpasses 55 and urban migration drains young workers, mechanization becomes the only feasible hedge against escalating labor costs.

High Upfront Machine Cost and Credit Gaps

Self-propelled 200-300 horsepower combines cost USD 28,000-49,000 before subsidy, which is equivalent to three to five years of net farm income for households tilling 1.33 hectares. Subsidy reimbursement lags purchase by up to six months, forcing reliance on bridge loans. Rural credit unions charge 4.5-6.0% interest, yet collateral rules exclude up to half of applicants. Zhengzhou Zhonglian's 4LZ-9B lists at USD 25,200-30,800; after a USD 6,800 subsidy, the net outlay still exceeds the average household disposable income by 40%. Leasing penetration is below 15%, compared with 40% in North America. Weichai Lovol's Feidi Leasing and Zoomlion Financial offer 24-month plans with a USD 4,200 down payment and USD 1,100 monthly payments, yet uptake is under 10%. The burden is steeper for models with more than 300 horsepower, costing USD 84,000. Financial constraints, therefore, slow fleet renewal, especially outside pilot zones.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

1. National Food-Security Agenda Elevating Grain-Loss Standards
2. BeiDou-Enabled Smart-Harvester Subsidy Incentives
3. Fragmented Land Holdings Limit Large-Machine Utility

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Self-propelled combines captured 64% of the China combine harvester market size in 2025, representing the largest share. Wider cabs and lower vibration make them the preferred choice for aging operators. Dual-axial-flow architectures meet the 1.2% loss ceiling and deliver 15-20% higher throughput than tangential drums. Half-feed rice persists in straw-retention paddies, though at a 40% throughput penalty. The tractor-pulled segment is projected to expand at a CAGR of 8.9% through 2031, outpacing other segments, as tractor-pulled units, priced at USD 11,200-16,800, remain relevant for Sichuan's narrow terraces. PTO modular kits are gaining traction in rapeseed and peanut plots where dedicated harvesters are uneconomical. The pivot to self-propelled machines underscores where the China combine harvester market will direct most R&D funding.

Self-propelled adoption also aligns with smart-harvester subsidies; 70% of BeiDou-equipped units shipped in 2025 were factory-installed rather than retrofitted. Replacement intent is strongest among cooperatives managing 300-800 hectares that can justify the higher outlay. Tractor-pulled models still anchor entry-level mechanization, yet a lack of comfort stalls operator interest. Modular kits benefit from flexible deployment on existing tractors but face limits in heavy wheat stands. Given subsidy bias and stricter loss norms, the China combine harvester market is tilting irrevocably toward high-spec self-propelled chassis.

List of Companies Covered in this Report:

1. Weichai Lovol Intelligent Agricultural Technology CO., LTD
2. Jiangsu World Agriculture Machinery Co., Ltd.
3. China First Tractor Group (YTO Group)
4. Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science & Technology Co., Ltd.
5. KUBOTA Corporation
6. Deere & Company
7. CNH Industrial N.V.
8. AGCO Corporation
9. CLAAS KGaA mbH
10. Shandong Shifeng Group
11. Zhengzhou Zhonglian Harvest Machinery
12. Zhejiang Liulin Agricultural Equipment
13. Xingguang Agricultural Machinery
14. Rostselmash
15. Sampo Rosenlew
16. Yanmar Co., Ltd.
17. Shandong Wuzheng Group
18. Preet Agro Industries
19. Iseki & Co.

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 Introduction

• 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
• 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 Research Methodology

3 Executive Summary

4 Market Landscape

• 4.1 Market Overview
• 4.2 Market Drivers
  • 4.2.1 Subsidy-backed mechanization push
  • 4.2.2 Rural labor shortage and rising wage costs
  • 4.2.3 National food-security agenda elevating grain-loss standards
  • 4.2.4 BeiDou-enabled smart-harvester subsidy incentives
  • 4.2.5 Stricter grain-loss quotas for state grain procurement
  • 4.2.6 Land-consolidation pilot zones demanding high-HP machines
• 4.3 Market Restraints
  • 4.3.1 High upfront machine cost and credit gaps
  • 4.3.2 Fragmented land holdings limit large-machine utility
  • 4.3.3 Harvest-window compression causing seasonal over-capacity
  • 4.3.4 China VI non-road diesel compliance costs
• 4.4 Regulatory Landscape
• 4.5 Technological Outlook
• 4.6 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
  • 4.6.1 Bargaining Power of Buyers
  • 4.6.2 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
  • 4.6.3 Threat of New Entrants
  • 4.6.4 Threat of Substitutes
  • 4.6.5 Competitive Rivalry

5 Market Size and Growth Forecasts (Value, USD)

• 5.1 By Type
  • 5.1.1 Self-propelled
    • 5.1.1.1 Full-feed axial-flow
    • 5.1.1.2 Full-feed tangential-drum
    • 5.1.1.3 Half-feed rice combines
  • 5.1.2 Tractor-pulled (trailing)
  • 5.1.3 PTO-powered modular combines
• 5.2 By Power Range (HP)
  • 5.2.1 Less than 120 HP
  • 5.2.2 120 - 200 HP
  • 5.2.3 201 - 300 HP
  • 5.2.4 More than 300 HP
• 5.3 By Movement
  • 5.3.1 Wheel Type
    • 5.3.1.1 Two-wheel-drive
    • 5.3.1.2 Four-wheel-drive
  • 5.3.2 Crawler Type
    • 5.3.2.1 Rubber-track crawlers
    • 5.3.2.2 Steel-track crawlers

6 Competitive Landscape

• 6.1 Market Concentration
• 6.2 Strategic Moves
• 6.3 Market Share Analysis
• 6.4 Company Profiles (Includes Global-level Overview, Market-level Overview, Core Segments, Financials as Available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share, Products and Services, and Recent Developments)
  • 6.4.1 Weichai Lovol Intelligent Agricultural Technology CO., LTD
  • 6.4.2 Jiangsu World Agriculture Machinery Co., Ltd.
  • 6.4.3 China First Tractor Group (YTO Group)
  • 6.4.4 Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science & Technology Co., Ltd.
  • 6.4.5 KUBOTA Corporation
  • 6.4.6 Deere & Company
  • 6.4.7 CNH Industrial N.V.
  • 6.4.8 AGCO Corporation
  • 6.4.9 CLAAS KGaA mbH
  • 6.4.10 Shandong Shifeng Group
  • 6.4.11 Zhengzhou Zhonglian Harvest Machinery
  • 6.4.12 Zhejiang Liulin Agricultural Equipment
  • 6.4.13 Xingguang Agricultural Machinery
  • 6.4.14 Rostselmash
  • 6.4.15 Sampo Rosenlew
  • 6.4.16 Yanmar Co., Ltd.
  • 6.4.17 Shandong Wuzheng Group
  • 6.4.18 Preet Agro Industries
  • 6.4.19 Iseki & Co.

7 Market Opportunities and Future Outlook