유럽의 폐기물 유래 재생 가스 : 시장 점유율 분석, 업계 동향 및 통계, 성장 예측(2026-2031년)

According to Mordor Intelligence, the europe renewable gas from waste market size was valued at USD 7.22 billion in 2025 and is estimated to grow from USD 7.78 billion in 2026 to reach USD 11.45 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 8.04% during the forecast period (2026-2031).

This report is Segmented by Feedstock (Food Waste, Animal Manure, and More), by Technology (Gasification, Pyrolysis, and More), by Gas Type (Biogas, and More), by Application (Electricity Generation, Grid Injection, and More), by Component (Gas Collection, Power Generation Equipment, and More), and by Geography (Germany, and More). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

Europe Renewable Gas From Waste Market Trends and Insights

REPowerEU Binding Biomethane Target Driving Waste-to-Gas Investment

The REPowerEU plan set a target of 35 bcm of biomethane production by 2030, sharply raising policy certainty for renewable gas investment in Europe. That target is materially higher than earlier policy expectations, so it has given the Europe renewable gas from waste market a larger and more durable demand horizon. The related investment need was estimated at EUR 37 billion (USD 43.5 billion), indicating that public policy expects infrastructure-scale deployment rather than a gradual, pilot-led expansion. The European Biogas Association reported in April 2026 that animal manure, agricultural residues, and industrial wastewater together account for 81% of Europe's technically achievable biomethane potential, underscoring the importance of waste-linked feedstock access to project economics. This changes how investors screen opportunities, because developers with reliable access to waste streams can move faster than players still dependent on open-market biomass procurement. It also means national schemes that translate the 2030 target into funding and permitting support are likely to pull forward project decisions in the Europe renewable gas from waste market over the next several years.

European Union Biowaste Landfill Ban Expanding Anaerobic Digestion Feedstock Supply

The European Union Waste Framework Directive required separate biowaste collection across member states from January 1, 2024, which expanded the formal supply base for anaerobic digestion projects. This matters for the Europe renewable gas from waste market because feedstock access becomes less exposed to seasonal swings in crop output and agricultural commodity pricing. The Biomethane Action Plan also linked biowaste diversion to dual benefits: each tonne diverted from landfill can reduce methane and CO2-equivalent emissions while producing usable gas. The European Biogas Association identified Germany, France, Italy, Poland, and the United Kingdom as the main concentration of mobilizable biomethane potential, so collection quality in those countries will have an outsized effect on future supply. The landfill framework adds further pressure because the EU still expects landfill dependence to decline toward the 2030 target of no more than 10% of municipal waste. As compliance tightens, the Europe renewable gas from waste market stands to benefit from a steadier, more regulated flow of segregated organic waste.

Persistent Production Cost Disadvantage Relative to Wholesale Natural Gas

Biomethane production from anaerobic digestion in Europe still costs EUR 50 to EUR 175 per MWh (USD 58.8 to USD 205.9 per MWh), which remains above wholesale natural gas pricing for much of the forecast period. The Oxford Institute for Energy Studies stated in January 2026 that there is still limited evidence of meaningful reductions in production costs compared with the 2010s, which keeps subsidy dependence in place for many projects. This constraint is harder to solve than it was in solar or wind, because feedstock transport, biological conversion limits, and grid injection costs do not decline as quickly as manufactured hardware. Support instruments such as Guarantees of Origin and feed-in premiums help narrow the gap, but their value still varies widely across countries, creating uneven commercial conditions. Lower gas prices would further complicate the case for unsubsidized projects, especially in countries where support has become more selective. As a result, the Europe renewable gas from waste market is still not on a clear path to large-scale subsidy-free expansion by 2031.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

1. Declining Dispatchable Power Capacity Boosting Demand for Storable Renewable Gas
2. German EEG Tariff Expiry Triggering Mass Biogas-to-Biomethane Conversion
3. Fragmented National Permitting Frameworks Delaying Project Commissioning

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Municipal solid waste accounted for 34.8% of the Europe renewable gas from waste market in 2025, making it the largest feedstock group in the region. Its lead reflects the maturity of collection, sorting, and processing systems across Germany, France, the Netherlands, and the United Kingdom. These established municipal waste flows give project developers a more stable and visible supply base than several narrower agricultural or industrial streams. Agricultural residues and animal manure remained the next major feedstock block, and manure continues to benefit from a regulatory edge because RED III gives it double-counting status in transport fuel applications. Industrial organic waste and sewage sludge remained important middle-tier categories, especially where wastewater infrastructure already lowers the capital burden for digestion and gas recovery projects.

Food waste is projected to record the fastest growth at 9.9% CAGR from 2026 to 2031 in the Europe renewable gas from waste market. This trajectory is closely tied to the EU requirement for separate biowaste collection, which has steadily increased the volume of segregated food waste available for valorization. That policy support also improves long-term visibility into feedstocks for developers building urban and municipal waste-based gas assets. Landfill waste remains relevant, particularly at legacy sites, where methane capture serves both environmental compliance and energy recovery goals under tighter landfill and emissions rules. The feedstock mix is therefore moving toward waste-stream operators with control over regulated organic flows, which strengthens their position across the Europe renewable gas from waste market.

Anaerobic digestion held 45.1% of the Europe renewable gas from waste market share in 2025, keeping it as the leading technology platform across the region. Its position rests on a long operating history, an established regulatory framework, and broad compatibility with municipal, agricultural, and industrial organic feedstocks. The technology also benefits from digestate output, which can support plant economics where biofertilizer demand is present. Landfill gas recovery remained the second key route, supported by the commercial viability of converting existing landfill assets into renewable gas production sites without requiring greenfield anaerobic digestion development, a model demonstrated by containerized upgrading units deployed directly at landfill sites across several European markets. Gasification and pyrolysis remained earlier in the commercial cycle, but they continue to attract interest where dry residual waste streams are less suitable for digestion.

Biogas upgrading systems are projected to expand at 9.3% CAGR through 2031, making them the fastest-growing technology segment in the Europe renewable gas from waste market. The main driver is the conversion of older biogas plants into biomethane-capable assets, especially in Germany, as post-subsidy facilities seek new revenue pathways. This conversion route is more capital-efficient than greenfield development because the digestion process is already in place, and many sites already have grid access. It also fits the broader shift from electricity-only generation toward higher-value gas injection and transport fuel use. Across Europe, in the renewable gas from waste industry, that trend is improving demand for membrane systems, scrubbing units, compression packages, and retrofit engineering services.

Complete Report Scope:

• By Feedstock
  • Municipal Solid Waste (MSW)
  • Agricultural Residues
  • Animal Manure
  • Industrial Organic Waste
  • Sewage Sludge
  • Food Waste
  • Others
• By Technology
  • Anaerobic Digestion
  • Landfill Gas Recovery
  • Gasification
  • Pyrolysis
  • Biogas Upgrading Systems
  • Others
• By Gas Type
  • Biogas
  • Biomethane / Renewable Natural Gas (RNG)
  • Syngas
• By Application
  • Electricity Generation
  • Combined Heat & Power (CHP)
  • Grid Injection
  • Transportation Fuel
  • Industrial Heating
  • Residential & Commercial Heating
  • Others
• By Component
  • Gas Collection Systems
  • Digesters & Fermentation Systems
  • Gas Processing & Upgrading Units
  • Compressors & Storage Systems
  • Power Generation Equipment
  • Monitoring & Control Systems
  • Others
• By Geography
  • Germany
  • United Kingdom
  • France
  • Italy
  • Spain
  • Russia
  • Benelux (Belgium, Netherlands, and Luxembourg)
  • NORDICS (Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden)
  • Rest of Europe

List of Companies Covered in this Report:

1. Shell Plc
2. EnvITec Biogas AG
3. Verbio SE
4. Storengy SAS
5. TotalEnergies SE
6. Waga Energy SA
7. SUEZ SA
8. Veolia Environnement S.A.
9. Attero B.V.
10. BALANCE Erneuerbare Energien GmbH
11. Biogen (UK) Limited
12. BTS Biogas Srl
13. Gasum Oyj
14. PlanET Biogas Group GmbH
15. Enagas, S.A.
16. Naturgy Energy Group, S.A.
17. Archaea Energy
18. Andion CH4 Holding BV
19. Future Biogas Ltd
20. SARIA SE & Co. KG

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 Introduction

• 1.1 Study Assumptions & Market Definition
• 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 Research Methodology

3 Executive Summary

4 Market Landscape

• 4.1 Market Overview
• 4.2 Market Drivers
  • 4.2.1 REPowerEU Binding Biomethane Target Driving Waste-to-Gas Investment
  • 4.2.2 European Union Biowaste Landfill Ban Expanding Anaerobic Digestion Feedstock Supply
  • 4.2.3 Declining Dispatchable Power Capacity Boosting Demand for Storable Renewable Gas
  • 4.2.4 German EEG Tariff Expiry Triggering Mass Biogas-to-Biomethane Conversion
  • 4.2.5 RED III Double-Counting Provisions Enhancing Commercial Viability in Transport
  • 4.2.6 Rising ETS Carbon Prices Accelerating Industrial Fossil Gas Substitution
• 4.3 Market Restraints
  • 4.3.1 Persistent Production Cost Disadvantage Relative to Wholesale Natural Gas
  • 4.3.2 Fragmented National Permitting Frameworks Delaying Project Commissioning
  • 4.3.3 Incompatible Guarantee of Origin Registries Obstructing Cross-Border Trade
  • 4.3.4 Organic Waste Feedstock Competition Constraining Biomass Availability
• 4.4 Value / Supply-Chain Analysis
• 4.5 Regulatory Landscape
• 4.6 Technological Outlook
• 4.7 Porter's Five Forces
  • 4.7.1 Threat of New Entrants
  • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
  • 4.7.3 Bargaining Power of Buyers
  • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitutes
  • 4.7.5 Industry Rivalry
• 4.8 Impact of Artificial Intelligence-Powered Waste Collection on Service Providers Revenue Growth
• 4.9 Consumer Behavior Shifts Toward Zero-Waste Lifestyles Influencing Service Demand
• 4.10 Impact of Geopolitical Events on the Market

5 Market Size & Growth Forecasts

• 5.1 By Feedstock
  • 5.1.1 Municipal Solid Waste (MSW)
  • 5.1.2 Agricultural Residues
  • 5.1.3 Animal Manure
  • 5.1.4 Industrial Organic Waste
  • 5.1.5 Sewage Sludge
  • 5.1.6 Food Waste
  • 5.1.7 Others
• 5.2 By Technology
  • 5.2.1 Anaerobic Digestion
  • 5.2.2 Landfill Gas Recovery
  • 5.2.3 Gasification
  • 5.2.4 Pyrolysis
  • 5.2.5 Biogas Upgrading Systems
  • 5.2.6 Others
• 5.3 By Gas Type
  • 5.3.1 Biogas
  • 5.3.2 Biomethane / Renewable Natural Gas (RNG)
  • 5.3.3 Syngas
• 5.4 By Application
  • 5.4.1 Electricity Generation
  • 5.4.2 Combined Heat & Power (CHP)
  • 5.4.3 Grid Injection
  • 5.4.4 Transportation Fuel
  • 5.4.5 Industrial Heating
  • 5.4.6 Residential & Commercial Heating
  • 5.4.7 Others
• 5.5 By Component
  • 5.5.1 Gas Collection Systems
  • 5.5.2 Digesters & Fermentation Systems
  • 5.5.3 Gas Processing & Upgrading Units
  • 5.5.4 Compressors & Storage Systems
  • 5.5.5 Power Generation Equipment
  • 5.5.6 Monitoring & Control Systems
  • 5.5.7 Others
• 5.6 By Geography
  • 5.6.1 Germany
  • 5.6.2 United Kingdom
  • 5.6.3 France
  • 5.6.4 Italy
  • 5.6.5 Spain
  • 5.6.6 Russia
  • 5.6.7 Benelux (Belgium, Netherlands, and Luxembourg)
  • 5.6.8 NORDICS (Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden)
  • 5.6.9 Rest of Europe

6 Competitive Landscape

• 6.1 Market Concentration
• 6.2 Strategic Moves
• 6.3 Market Share Analysis
• 6.4 Company Profiles (Includes Global Level Overview, Market Level Overview, Core Segments, Financials as Available, Strategic Information, Products & Services, and Recent Developments)
  • 6.4.1 Shell Plc
  • 6.4.2 EnviTec Biogas AG
  • 6.4.3 Verbio SE
  • 6.4.4 Storengy SAS
  • 6.4.5 TotalEnergies SE
  • 6.4.6 Waga Energy SA
  • 6.4.7 SUEZ SA
  • 6.4.8 Veolia Environnement S.A.
  • 6.4.9 Attero B.V.
  • 6.4.10 BALANCE Erneuerbare Energien GmbH
  • 6.4.11 Biogen (UK) Limited
  • 6.4.12 BTS Biogas Srl
  • 6.4.13 Gasum Oyj
  • 6.4.14 PlanET Biogas Group GmbH
  • 6.4.15 Enagas, S.A.
  • 6.4.16 Naturgy Energy Group, S.A.
  • 6.4.17 Archaea Energy
  • 6.4.18 Andion CH4 Holding BV
  • 6.4.19 Future Biogas Ltd
  • 6.4.20 SARIA SE & Co. KG

7 Market Opportunities & Future Outlook

• 7.1 White-Space & Unmet-Need Assessment