전기차 시장 : 점유율 분석, 업계 동향과 통계, 성장 예측(2026-2031년)

According to Mordor Intelligence, the electric vehicle market size was valued at USD 0.67 trillion in 2025, is expected to grow to USD 0.77 trillion in 2026, and is forecast to reach USD 1.34 trillion by 2031, at an 11.68% CAGR over 2026-2031.

This report is Segmented by Powertrain (BEV, PHEV, and FCEV), Vehicle Type (Passenger Car, and Commercial Vehicle), Battery Chemistry (LFP, NMC, and More), Motor Architecture (PMSM, Induction, and Others), Range (Short, Mid, Long, and Ultra-Long), Voltage (Low, Mid, High, and Ultra-High), and Geography. The Market Forecasts in Value (USD) and Volume (Units).

Global Electric Vehicles Market Trends and Insights

Battery-Pack Cost Deflation Approaching USD 80 /kWh Threshold

Lithium-ion pack prices have declined significantly and are expected to drop further in the coming years. This reduction is attributed to the adoption of cell-to-pack designs, which eliminate module housings, and the scaling up of Chinese LFP output . Leading manufacturers are already supplying packs at lower costs through long-term contracts. This pricing strategy allows automakers to offer more affordable models without relying on subsidies. With costs approaching parity with internal-combustion powertrains, adoption is accelerating in price-sensitive regions such as Southeast Asia and Latin America. Additionally, solid-state pilot lines from key players are targeting even lower costs by the end of the decade, supporting premium offerings with extended range. As these cost trends continue, electric vehicles are set to maintain a substantial price advantage over traditional drivetrains.

Tightening Fleet-Average CO2 Standards Across Major Markets

China increased its dual-credit quota, while the EU tightened its emissions limit. Meanwhile, California's Advanced Clean Cars II is set to take effect soon. These measures are driving significant investments into zero-emission initiatives. In Europe, non-compliance penalties have risen significantly, creating a substantial threat that is shifting R&D priorities for automotive giants like Volkswagen, Stellantis, and General Motors. As a result, these legacy OEMs are accelerating the development of skateboard platforms and shelving plans for new internal-combustion projects. Regulatory pressures have become a key factor shaping the direction of the electric vehicle market.

Critical-Minerals Supply-Chain Concentration Risk

Indonesia and the Democratic Republic of the Congo, which hold most of the world's nickel and cobalt reserves, remain at the center of price volatility driven by policy shifts influencing the electric vehicle market. Nickel prices surged significantly after Indonesia imposed export restrictions before declining sharply. As OEMs work to comply with the Inflation Reduction Act's requirements, they are increasingly sourcing materials from countries covered by free trade agreements. General Motors, for instance, has made a significant investment in Lithium Americas' Thacker Pass project. However, despite these diversification efforts, China continues to dominate the refining of a substantial share of the world's lithium and cobalt. This dominance increases supply chain vulnerability and limits the expected margin expansion.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

1. Ultra-Rapid Charging Infrastructure Along Freight Corridors
2. Silicon-Anode Penetration Enabling Ultra-Long-Range Segments
3. Grid-Upgrade Bottlenecks at Distribution Level

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Battery electric vehicles held 72.12% electric vehicle market share in 2025 and are tracking a 13.43% CAGR through 2031. Pure-electric architectures capitalize on falling LFP costs and corridor charging, while plug-in hybrids plateau as dual-powertrain complexity loses favor. Fuel-cell formats remain constrained by a scarcity of hydrogen stations, delivering fewer than 15,000 global units in 2024. Phase-out timelines in China and California reduce regulatory credits for hybrids beyond 2030, thereby cementing the primacy of BEVs.

Plug-in hybrids still serve rural areas with sparse charging stations, but the price delta erodes as silicon-anode BEVs reach a 600 km range. Fleet buyers show a limited appetite for maintaining two drivetrains per vehicle, which curbs volume growth. Fuel cell units may find long-haul niches once green hydrogen costs fall, yet that scenario sits outside the forecast window. Net effect: The electric vehicle market continues its shift toward dedicated battery platforms on a larger scale.

Passenger cars accounted for 79.28% of 2025 revenue, while commercial vehicles posted the fastest 12.83% CAGR to 2031 in the electric vehicle market. Parcel operators and municipal bus fleets lock in multi-year contracts, insulating production from consumer cycles. Light commercial vans, such as the Ford E-Transit and Mercedes-Benz eSprinter, achieve 40-50% lower running costs per kilometer compared to their diesel rivals, accelerating corporate fleet conversions.

Medium- and heavy-duty trucks are crossing the economic threshold as battery costs decline and urban zero-emission zones expand across the electric vehicle market. BYD's 12-meter electric bus already anchors the majority of new urban bus sales in China. Passenger SUVs maintain volume leadership due to consumer preference for cargo versatility; however, sedans and hatchbacks see shrinking model lineups as OEMs redirect capital to crossovers and commercial chassis.

Complete Report Scope:

• By Powertrain
  • Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs)
  • Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEVs)
  • Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles (FCEVs)
• By Vehicle Type
  • Passenger Car
    • Hatchback
    • Sedan
    • Sports Utility Vehicle/Crossover
    • Multi-purpose Vehicle
  • Commercial Vehicle
    • Light Commercial Vehicle
    • Medium and Heavy-duty Truck
    • Bus
• By Battery Chemistry
  • Lithium Iron Phosphate (LFP)
  • Lithium Nickel Manganese Cobalt Oxide (NMC)
  • Lithium Nickel Cobalt Aluminum Oxide (NCA)
  • Others
• By Motor Architecture
  • Permanent-Magnet Synchronous Motors (PMSM/IPM)
  • Induction Motors (IM)
  • Others (SRM, Axial Flux, etc.)
• By Range
  • Short (0-200 km)
  • Mid (200-400 km)
  • Long (400-600 km)
  • Ultra-Long (Above 600 km)
• By Voltage
  • Low Voltage (Below 200 V)
  • Mid Voltage (200-400 V)
  • High Voltage (400-800 V)
  • Ultra-High Voltage (Above 800 V)
• By Geography
  • North America
    • United States
    • Canada
    • Rest of North America
  • South America
    • Brazil
    • Argentina
    • Rest of South America
  • Europe
    • Germany
    • United Kingdom
    • France
    • Italy
    • Spain
    • Rest of Europe
  • Asia-Pacific
    • China
    • India
    • Japan
    • South Korea
    • Rest of Asia-Pacific
  • Middle-East and Africa
    • United Arab Emirates
    • Saudi Arabia
    • South Africa
    • Turkey
    • Rest of Middle-East and Africa

Geography Analysis

The Asia-Pacific region commanded 52.73% of the 2025 volume and is projected to track a 13.81% CAGR reinforcing its leadership in the electric vehicle market, as China's LFP blade battery and India's Production Linked Incentive program add domestic capacity. China led the charge with a significant number of EVs sold, while South Korea's Hyundai and Kia exported a substantial volume of units. Japan, with relatively low market penetration, is increasing subsidies to boost demand. Meanwhile, Thailand and Indonesia are emerging as key assembly hubs in Southeast Asia, luring OEMs with tax breaks and easy access to raw materials, solidifying their dominance in the electric vehicle arena.

North America accounted for a notable share of the market. Policy measures are poised to boost local assembly and component sourcing. Tesla commands a significant portion of the United States BEV market, but GM, Ford, and Stellantis are on track to achieve higher production rates in the coming years. Canada's ZEV mandate is in sync with California's schedule, and Mexico's upcoming Gigafactory is capitalizing on regional trade advantages. While rural charging gaps and distribution grid challenges pose hurdles, substantial federal and state incentives are helping to accelerate infrastructure development.

Europe secured a considerable market share, spearheaded by Norway's high new-car penetration and Germany's notable progress. Stricter CO2 targets and the "fit-for-55" initiative are shaping OEM strategies. Volkswagen, Stellantis, and Renault are eyeing a combined annual output of a significant number of EVs in the near future. The United Kingdom is pushing for a high percentage of zero-emission sales within the decade, and Eastern Europe is rapidly installing corridor chargers with EU funds. In the Middle East and Africa, while still in nascent stages, Saudi Arabia's investment in Lucid and Dubai's move to electrify taxis hint at a burgeoning electric vehicle landscape.

1. BYD Company Ltd.
2. Tesla Inc.
3. SAIC Motor
4. Volkswagen AG
5. Hyundai Motor Company
6. Nissan Motor Co. Ltd.
7. Stellantis N.V.
8. Daimler AG (Mercedes-Benz)
9. General Motors
10. Ford Motor Company
11. Toyota Motor Corporation
12. BMW AG
13. Honda Motor Co. Ltd.
14. Volvo Car AB
15. Rivian Automotive LLC
16. Lucid Group Inc.
17. NIO Inc.
18. Tata Motors Ltd.

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 Introduction

• 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
• 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 Research Methodology

3 Executive Summary

4 Key Industry Trends

• 4.1 Urbanization, Population and Vehicle/Transit Demand
• 4.2 Car Ownership and Motorization Rate
• 4.3 EV Penetration in Car Market
• 4.4 Fuel vs Electricity Price Spread (Per km, ICE vs EV)
• 4.5 EV vs ICE Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) Gap
• 4.6 Financing and Ownership Models (Loans, Leasing, Subscription)
• 4.7 Battery Chemistry Mix and Pack Energy Density (LFP vs NMC etc.)
• 4.8 Home, Workplace and Public Charger Access / Density
• 4.9 Fast-Charging Network Coverage and Power Bands
• 4.10 Alternative Fuels Infrastructure (Hydrogen for FCEVs)
• 4.11 Subsidy and Consumer Incentive Value
• 4.12 OEM EV Line-up and Model Pipeline
• 4.13 Value-Chain and Distribution-Channel Analysis
• 4.14 Regulatory, Fiscal and Industrial Policy Framework

5 Market Landscape

• 5.1 Market Overview
• 5.2 Market Drivers
  • 5.2.1 Battery-Pack Cost Per kWh Keeps Falling Below USD 80 By 2027
  • 5.2.2 Ultra-Rapid (Above 350 kW) Charger Roll-Outs Along Freight Corridors
  • 5.2.3 Tightening Fleet-Average CO2 Standards in China, Europe, and the United States
  • 5.2.4 Corporate-Fleet Decarbonization Procurement Mandates
  • 5.2.5 Silicon-Anode Penetration Boosting Above 600 Km Segment
  • 5.2.6 Secondary-Use Battery Value-Chain Lowering TCO
• 5.3 Market Restraints
  • 5.3.1 Grid-Upgrade Bottlenecks at the Distribution Level
  • 5.3.2 Critical-Minerals (Li, Ni) Supply-Chain Concentration Risk
  • 5.3.3 Warranty-Period Residual-Value Uncertainty in Emerging Markets
  • 5.3.4 Cyber-Security and OTA-Update Compliance Costs
• 5.4 Value / Supply-Chain Analysis
• 5.5 Regulatory Landscape
• 5.6 Technological Outlook
• 5.7 Porter's Five Forces
  • 5.7.1 Threat of New Entrants
  • 5.7.2 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
  • 5.7.3 Bargaining Power of Buyers
  • 5.7.4 Threat of Substitutes
  • 5.7.5 Competitive Rivalry

6 Market Size and Growth Forecasts (Value and Volume)

• 6.1 By Powertrain
  • 6.1.1 Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs)
  • 6.1.2 Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEVs)
  • 6.1.3 Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles (FCEVs)
• 6.2 By Vehicle Type
  • 6.2.1 Passenger Car
    • 6.2.1.1 Hatchback
    • 6.2.1.2 Sedan
    • 6.2.1.3 Sports Utility Vehicle/Crossover
    • 6.2.1.4 Multi-purpose Vehicle
  • 6.2.2 Commercial Vehicle
    • 6.2.2.1 Light Commercial Vehicle
    • 6.2.2.2 Medium and Heavy-duty Truck
    • 6.2.2.3 Bus
• 6.3 By Battery Chemistry
  • 6.3.1 Lithium Iron Phosphate (LFP)
  • 6.3.2 Lithium Nickel Manganese Cobalt Oxide (NMC)
  • 6.3.3 Lithium Nickel Cobalt Aluminum Oxide (NCA)
  • 6.3.4 Others
• 6.4 By Motor Architecture
  • 6.4.1 Permanent-Magnet Synchronous Motors (PMSM/IPM)
  • 6.4.2 Induction Motors (IM)
  • 6.4.3 Others (SRM, Axial Flux, etc.)
• 6.5 By Range
  • 6.5.1 Short (0-200 km)
  • 6.5.2 Mid (200-400 km)
  • 6.5.3 Long (400-600 km)
  • 6.5.4 Ultra-Long (Above 600 km)
• 6.6 By Voltage
  • 6.6.1 Low Voltage (Below 200 V)
  • 6.6.2 Mid Voltage (200-400 V)
  • 6.6.3 High Voltage (400-800 V)
  • 6.6.4 Ultra-High Voltage (Above 800 V)
• 6.7 By Geography
  • 6.7.1 North America
    • 6.7.1.1 United States
    • 6.7.1.2 Canada
    • 6.7.1.3 Rest of North America
  • 6.7.2 South America
    • 6.7.2.1 Brazil
    • 6.7.2.2 Argentina
    • 6.7.2.3 Rest of South America
  • 6.7.3 Europe
    • 6.7.3.1 Germany
    • 6.7.3.2 United Kingdom
    • 6.7.3.3 France
    • 6.7.3.4 Italy
    • 6.7.3.5 Spain
    • 6.7.3.6 Rest of Europe
  • 6.7.4 Asia-Pacific
    • 6.7.4.1 China
    • 6.7.4.2 India
    • 6.7.4.3 Japan
    • 6.7.4.4 South Korea
    • 6.7.4.5 Rest of Asia-Pacific
  • 6.7.5 Middle-East and Africa
    • 6.7.5.1 United Arab Emirates
    • 6.7.5.2 Saudi Arabia
    • 6.7.5.3 South Africa
    • 6.7.5.4 Turkey
    • 6.7.5.5 Rest of Middle-East and Africa

7 Competitive Landscape

• 7.1 Market Concentration
• 7.2 Strategic Moves
• 7.3 Market Share Analysis
• 7.4 Company Profiles (Includes Global level Overview, Market level overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share for key companies, Products and Services, and Recent Developments)
  • 7.4.1 BYD Company Ltd.
  • 7.4.2 Tesla Inc.
  • 7.4.3 SAIC Motor
  • 7.4.4 Volkswagen AG
  • 7.4.5 Hyundai Motor Company
  • 7.4.6 Nissan Motor Co. Ltd.
  • 7.4.7 Stellantis N.V.
  • 7.4.8 Daimler AG (Mercedes-Benz)
  • 7.4.9 General Motors
  • 7.4.10 Ford Motor Company
  • 7.4.11 Toyota Motor Corporation
  • 7.4.12 BMW AG
  • 7.4.13 Honda Motor Co. Ltd.
  • 7.4.14 Volvo Car AB
  • 7.4.15 Rivian Automotive LLC
  • 7.4.16 Lucid Group Inc.
  • 7.4.17 NIO Inc.
  • 7.4.18 Tata Motors Ltd.

8 Market Opportunities and Future Outlook

9 Key Strategic Questions for CEOs